British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Newmarket

13:15

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £25,770

Winning Time 1m 26.63s (slow by 3.33s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Naina (GB) Christian Howarth · John Ryan	6/1	Won
2nd	Magic Love (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Harry Charlton	5/1	1.75
3rd	Royal Equerry (GB) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	16/1	1
4th	Santa Savana (GB) Neil Callan · Rod Millman	11/1	0.2
5th	Harmonia (GB) Tom Marquand · David Evans	9/2	1.75
6th	Shining Pearl (GB) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	15/2	1.25
7th	Ghost Run (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	3/1F	3.5
8th	Geo (IRE) William Buick · Eve Johnson Houghton	7/1	1.25
9th	Creative Lady (IRE) Harry Davies · Amy Murphy	22/1	.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Ghost Run Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	135	—	561481	85	91	80	16d	—	—	+8	27.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Recorded a game success in similar event at the Doncaster St Leger meeting last time
9 (4)	Geo Bay J:William Buick T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:William Buick T:Eve Johnson Houghton	126	—	4471	76	92	75	30d	—	—	+5	21.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Justified favouritism under William Buick at Newbury (nursery debut) last month; respected
10 (2)	Magic Love Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	121	—	5501	71	91	80	12d	—	—	+5	19.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Justified favouritism at Thirsk (nursery debut) early last week; type to improve further
6 (3)	Harmonia Bay J:Tom Marquand T:David Evans	J:Tom Marquand T:David Evans	127	—	721131	77	89	86	16d	—	—	+20	30.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Record of 21131 in nurseries, most recently scoring at Doncaster; progressive filly
4 (6)	Shining Pearl Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	129	p	5222	79	88	75	29d	—	—	+10	21.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Threatening to win; form has received boosts; possibilities if taking well to headgear
1 (10)	Santa Savana Grey J:Neil Callan T:Rod Millman	J:Neil Callan T:Rod Millman	135	h	1586	85	88	71	15d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Raised 4lb for a last-time-out Group 3 result that may flatter her; opposed
5 (11)	Naina Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:John Ryan	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:John Ryan	128	—	301161	78	90	85	11d	—	—	+20	27.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Record of 3-4 since upped to 7f, winning at Yarmouth most recently; not dismissed
8 (9)	Royal Equerry Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	126	h	4245	76	90	76	39d	—	—	+5	10.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Pedigree suggests she may improve for this new trip; hood added; not written off
11 (1)	Creative Lady Bay J:Harry Davies T:Amy Murphy	J:Harry Davies T:Amy Murphy	120	—	2214	70	86	81	11d	—	—	+14	16.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Held by Naina on Yarmouth running and this represents a harder task
NR (7)	Beauty Nation Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:George Boughey	J:NON-RUNNER T:George Boughey	129	—	127	79	-	-	16d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
Looks held by Ghost Run on Doncaster running and needs to raise her game
NR (5)	Timefall Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	24138	76	88	74	16d	—	—	—	14.6	—	—
Returns to a more suitable level, having faced difficult task in sales race last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ghost Run	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Geo	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Magic Love	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Harmonia	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Shining Pearl	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Santa Savana	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Naina	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Royal Equerry	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Creative Lady	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Harmonia

30.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 21.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Ghost Run

27.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 13 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Naina

27.1

OR: 7 Form: 18 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Shining Pearl

21.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 11 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Geo

21.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Magic Love

19.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

Creative Lady

16.9

OR: 5 Form: 11 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Beauty Nation

15.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Timefall

14.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0

—

Santa Savana

14.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Royal Equerry

10.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ghost Run	85	91	80
Santa Savana	85	88	71
Shining Pearl	79	88	75
Beauty Nation	79	—	—
Naina	78	90	85
Harmonia	77	89	86
Geo	76	92	75
Royal Equerry	76	90	76
Timefall	76	88	74
Magic Love	71	91	80
Creative Lady	70	86	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Naina	11d ago	Quick return
Creative Lady	11d ago	Quick return
Magic Love	12d ago	Quick return
Santa Savana	15d ago	Fit
Ghost Run	16d ago	Fit
Harmonia	16d ago	Fit
Beauty Nation	16d ago	Fit
Timefall	16d ago	Fit
Shining Pearl	29d ago	Fit
Geo	30d ago	Fit
Royal Equerry	39d ago	Fit