Highclere Castle Feeds Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

18:20

Date 2024-10-02

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Eben Zaabeel Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	134	—	-54432	79	85	64	29d	—	—	-5	22.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Creditable third in his only previous handicap and he still has potential; in the mix
7 (4)	Expected Arrival Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	53-231	78	86	74	53d	—	—	-6	12.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Off he mark at Haydock last time and she's open to more progress back on AW; key player
4 (9)	Heat Of Passion Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	134	—	5-4315	79	89	60	57d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won on handicap debut at Southwell and the run may have come too soon next time; respected
3 (13)	Parramount Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Charlie Longsdon	135	—	302623	75	86	50	20d	—	—	+5	17.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Fairly useful hurdler who has finished placed in 1m4f handicaps last twice; respected
1 (11)	Liseo Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	140	tv	757494	80	90	48	7d	—	—	0	10.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Last two wins have been over C&D and he was a creditable fourth here latest; dangerous
13 (2)	Rockit Tommy Chestnut J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	129	—	-80043	69	86	51	28d	—	—	+2	10	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Reached the frame in his last two handicaps but he needs to find more back at this trip
6 (7)	Tahitian Prince Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Baker	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Baker	134	tp	-77679	74	83	54	37d	—	—	+2	7.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well held in all five runs this season and has plenty to prove at this new trip
11 (1)	Orchestra Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Tom Marquand T:Fergal O'Brien	131	p	53734-	71	85	-	—	—	—	+5	9.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Now 4lb lower than for last win and he's not ruled back on the Flat after a break
9 (6)	Sixfiveseven Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	132	t	32/5	72	78	-	19d	—	—	+4	5.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Five-race maiden who needs a transformation with tongue-tie tried on handicap debut
2 (12)	Ghasham Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	136	—	46387/	76	-	-	—	—	—	+7	8.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Returns to the Flat after a long absence and has something to prove on Polytrack debut
12 (5)	Cresta Cat Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	130	—	3-2000	70	89	53	16d	—	—	+6	7.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Seven-race maiden and he needs a major turnaround back up in trip
14 (8)	Ocean Odyssey Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Gary & Josh Moore	119	ht	50-780	64	85	-	22d	—	—	+3	3.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Tailed off in both his handicaps and has lots to prove on this big step up in trip
NR (14)	Rocket Warrior Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Marco Botti	J:NON-RUNNER T:Marco Botti	133	—	-11529	78	-	-	75d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Two AW wins in March but he had a major blip in July; non-runner
NR (10)	Louis Quatorze Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	131	—	-78455	76	86	65	18d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Sole win was in a 7f novice and he's found it tough going in handicaps this season

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Eben Zaabeel	9/4	5/2	5/2
Expected Arrival	7/2	10/3	7/2
Heat Of Passion	6/1	11/2	6/1
Parramount	6/1	11/2	6/1
Liseo	13/2	13/2	13/2
Rockit Tommy	10/1	9/1	10/1
Tahitian Prince	12/1	12/1	12/1
Orchestra	16/1	20/1	20/1
Sixfiveseven	80/1	50/1	66/1
Ghasham	80/1	66/1	80/1
Cresta Cat	100/1	66/1	100/1
Ocean Odyssey	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eben Zaabeel

22.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Parramount

17.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Rocket Warrior

15.5

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Expected Arrival

12.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Heat Of Passion

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Liseo

10.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rockit Tommy

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Orchestra

9.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ghasham

8.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Tahitian Prince

7.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Cresta Cat

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Louis Quatorze

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sixfiveseven

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ocean Odyssey

3.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liseo	80	90	48
Eben Zaabeel	79	85	64
Heat Of Passion	79	89	60
Expected Arrival	78	86	74
Rocket Warrior	78	—	—
Ghasham	76	—	—
Louis Quatorze	76	86	65
Parramount	75	86	50
Tahitian Prince	74	83	54
Sixfiveseven	72	78	—
Orchestra	71	85	—
Cresta Cat	70	89	53
Rockit Tommy	69	86	51
Ocean Odyssey	64	85	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Liseo	7d ago	Quick return
Cresta Cat	16d ago	Fit
Louis Quatorze	18d ago	Fit
Sixfiveseven	19d ago	Fit
Parramount	20d ago	Fit
Ocean Odyssey	22d ago	Fit
Rockit Tommy	28d ago	Fit
Eben Zaabeel	29d ago	Fit
Tahitian Prince	37d ago	Fit
Expected Arrival	53d ago	Fresh
Heat Of Passion	57d ago	Fresh
Rocket Warrior	75d ago	Fresh
Orchestra	—	—
Ghasham	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.