Vetit Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Vetit Handicap

Date 2024-10-02

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.51s (slow by 2.41s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lewis Barnes (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	3/1F	Won
2nd	Classy Hopes (IRE) David Egan · John Butler	33/1	0.2
3rd	Don't Fight It (IRE) Luke Morris · Jim & Suzi Best	25/1	.75
4th	Fai Fai (GB) Rossa Ryan · Daniel Steele	9/2	1.25
5th	Flagman (GB) Dougie Costello · Thomas Faulkner	11/1	.5
6th	Oriental Spirit (GB) Rob Hornby · Stuart Kittow	7/2	.5
7th	Midnight Flame (IRE) William Cox · Joe Ponting	18/1	2
8th	Family Matters (GB) Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	25/1	0.2
9th	Willowbank (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	7/1	.5
10th	Queen Jean (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Harry Charlton	17/2	0.3
11th	Apple A Dey (IRE) Robert Havlin · Mark Hoad	16/1	0.2
12th	Marinakis (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	33/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Lewis Barnes Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	132	tb	243425	52	70	55	4d	—	—	-9	10.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Went very close at Chelmsford on penultimate run; big player if he can recapture that form
4 (4)	Oriental Spirit Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	131	tp	-35520	51	69	62	16d	—	—	-9	10.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Record of 1-22 but has claims on his best form this season; could be dangerous back at 6f
8 (9)	Fai Fai Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Daniel Steele	J:Rossa Ryan T:Daniel Steele	128	tp	713476	48	65	57	9d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-10	8.1	1.00/1	4/1 20%
In fair form but he has another wide draw and will need some luck if dropped in again
7 (11)	Willowbank Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	-63648	49	68	53	45d	—	—	-6	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Inconsistent ten-race maiden who was in rear at Southwell latest; others preferred
2 (7)	Queen Jean Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	134	h	5-0835	55	62	-	29d	—	—	-4	3.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Six-race maiden who has not progressed so far and she needs improvement back in trip
10 (6)	Flagman Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Dougie Costello T:Thomas Faulkner	126	—	45-570	46	61	-	18d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D winner but he's been well held in his three runs this season; needs to raise his game
1 (2)	Apple A Dey Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Hoad	J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Hoad	135	—	/39-38	55	71	40	16d	—	—	-3	3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced 4yo but she made a low-key start in handicaps at Windsor last month
11 (3)	Don't Fight It Bay J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	126	b	06-629	46	65	38	13d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
40-1 second at Lingfield but she failed to back that up at Chelmsford; blinkers now tried
9 (10)	Family Matters Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	127	—	656	48	57	44	16d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Unexposed 3yo and she's a possible improver on handicap debut; watch the market
6 (8)	Midnight Flame Grey J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	128	p	906552	48	69	43	18d	—	—	+2	6.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-25 but she went close in first-time cheekpieces at Bath latest; respected back on AW
5 (12)	Marinakis Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	130	—	/009-8	50	58	30	180d	—	—	-3	1.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Well held in all seven runs and has plenty to prove after another break
12 (1)	Classy Hopes Chestnut J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	125	p	8-8597	46	58	16	33d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
In rear in all five runs and needs a transformation on handicap debut; new headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lewis Barnes	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Oriental Spirit	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
Fai Fai	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Willowbank	8/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	9/1
Queen Jean	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Flagman	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Apple A Dey	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Don't Fight It	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Family Matters	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Midnight Flame	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	25/1
Marinakis	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Classy Hopes	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lewis Barnes

10.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Oriental Spirit

10.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Fai Fai

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.9 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Midnight Flame

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Willowbank

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Queen Jean

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Apple A Dey

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Flagman

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Family Matters

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Marinakis

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Don't Fight It

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Classy Hopes

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Queen Jean	55	62	—
Apple A Dey	55	71	40
Lewis Barnes	52	70	55
Oriental Spirit	51	69	62
Marinakis	50	58	30
Willowbank	49	68	53
Fai Fai	48	65	57
Family Matters	48	57	44
Midnight Flame	48	69	43
Flagman	46	61	—
Don't Fight It	46	65	38
Classy Hopes	46	58	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lewis Barnes	4d ago	Quick return
Fai Fai	9d ago	Quick return
Don't Fight It	13d ago	Quick return
Oriental Spirit	16d ago	Fit
Apple A Dey	16d ago	Fit
Family Matters	16d ago	Fit
Flagman	18d ago	Fit
Midnight Flame	18d ago	Fit
Queen Jean	29d ago	Fit
Classy Hopes	33d ago	Fit
Willowbank	45d ago	Fit
Marinakis	180d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.