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Kempton (AW)

17:45 ✓ Result

ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-02
Distance 6f
Class Class 2
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £12,885
Winning Time 1m 10.08s (fast by 1.02s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 4/1 Won
2nd 28/1 2.5
3rd 11/1 0.3
4th 11/2 1.5
5th 33/1 1.25
6th 22/1 .5
7th EvensF 3.5
8th 17/2 1.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (2)
Willem Twee
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:James Fanshawe
J:Oisin Murphy
T:James Fanshawe
 135 — 1-3931
108
121
99
 62d — — -10
37.8
0.23/1
10/11
52%
Smart sprinter on AW and getting better all the time; bold bid likely despite a penalty
6 (7)
Night Raider
Brown
J:Tom Marquand
T:K R Burke
J:Tom Marquand
T:K R Burke
 130 — 1-1005
100
113
89
 39d — — +7
24.5
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Two wide-margin AW wins in December/March; struggled in good races since; unexposed on AW
8 (6)
Gutsy Girl
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Charlie Fellowes
 125 — -33129
89
111
91
 12d — — +11
23.1
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Impressed over C&D in July; two solid runs have followed; could outrun her weights chance
7 (4)
Kinta
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
 126 ht 012-64
99
118
86
 215d — — +5
14.9
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Yet to run a poor race on AW but she's back from seven months off
5 (3)
Zero Carbon
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
 131 p 103461
89
103
90
 43d — — +15
22.8
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Four course wins but all at 7f; still improving but he's in deeper today
3 (8)
Go Bears Go
b/br
J:David Egan
T:David Loughnane
J:David Egan
T:David Loughnane
 131 — 036-60
-
111
-
 17d — — -3
1.1
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Smart in his youth but current ability not easy to gauge; opposable on AW debut
2 (1)
Equilateral
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Charles Hills
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Charles Hills
 131 — 5-0530
103
120
-
 64d — — +11
14.1
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Only run to form once this year; others bring more pressing claims
4 (5)
Juan Les Pins
Bay
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
 131 p 289760
98
118
85
 102d — 1W/1P 2 runs +10
12.6
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Needs a return to his best after his break but that's not out of the question
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Willem Twee
 10/11 evn 10/11 5/6 8/11
Night Raider
 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2
Gutsy Girl
 7/1 13/2 7/1 7/1 7/1
Kinta
 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 17/2
Zero Carbon
 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Go Bears Go
 25/1 22/1 22/1 20/1 25/1
Equilateral
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Juan Les Pins
 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Willem Twee
37.8
OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 16.3
10/11
2nd Night Raider
24.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5
9/2
3rd Gutsy Girl
23.1
OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3
7/1
4 Zero Carbon
22.8
OR: 9.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.1
11/1
5 Kinta
14.9
OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
17/2
6 Equilateral
14.1
OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28/1
7 Juan Les Pins
12.6
OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40/1
8 Go Bears Go
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Willem Twee
108
121
99
Equilateral
103
120
 —
Night Raider
100
113
89
Kinta
99
118
86
Juan Les Pins
98
118
85
Gutsy Girl
89
111
91
Zero Carbon
89
103
90
Go Bears Go —
111
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Gutsy Girl 12d ago Quick return
Go Bears Go 17d ago Fit
Night Raider 39d ago Fit
Zero Carbon 43d ago Fit
Willem Twee 62d ago Fresh
Equilateral 64d ago Fresh
Juan Les Pins 102d ago Long break
Kinta 215d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.