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Ascot

16:30

BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-04
Distance 6f
Class Class 2
Going Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £23,193

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (8)
Never So Brave
Bay
J:Ryan Moore
T:Sir Michael Stoute
J:Ryan Moore
T:Sir Michael Stoute
 133 — -11672
101
114
98
 43d — — +9
28.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
3yo with two wins this year (7f/7.5f); could be suited by sprinting
4 (1)
Rohaan
Bay
J:Tom Queally
T:David Evans
J:Tom Queally
T:David Evans
 127 — 808030
94
120
105
 13d — — +1
18.1
1.00/1
4/1
20%
Inconsistent this year but has a good record here and won this race last season
3 (4)
Holkham Bay
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:William Knight
J:Oisin Murphy
T:William Knight
 128 — 221107
95
116
93
 20d — — +9
24.7
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Close seventh in the Portland; needs bigger run today but he excelled here in August
5 (6)
Baradar
b/br
J:Rossa Ryan
T:George Boughey
J:Rossa Ryan
T:George Boughey
 127 tb 707074
94
118
77
 6d — — +3
14.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Close fourth in these blinkers at Ripon last Saturday and may be able to build on that
8 (2)
Garfield Shadow
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
 125 — 140133
93
114
105
 20d — — +14
23.4
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Won at Chester in July and close 3rd the next twice; this 3yo may still have more to offer
1 (9)
Commanche Falls
Brown
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 139 p 256346
106
117
95
 13d — — +10
17.6
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Creditable sixth of 25 in the Ayr Gold Cup a fortnight ago and could be in the mix
9 (7)
Wobwobwob
Bay
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:Adrian Paul Keatley
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:Adrian Paul Keatley
 121 v 100657
88
115
106
 6d — — +5
11.4
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Soundly beaten at Haydock last Saturday but on a competitive mark and not discounted
6 (3)
Ferrous
Grey
J:Tom Marquand
T:Jack Channon
J:Tom Marquand
T:Jack Channon
 127 — 113005
94
116
103
 27d — — +9
15.8
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Back to form with AW fifth last month (denied a clear run) and might not be far away
10 (10)
Palmar Bay
Bay
J:Edward Greatrex
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Edward Greatrex
T:Ralph Beckett
 119 — 3-9610
87
114
82
 53d — — +8
12.7
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Flopped in August last time but won prior to that and this 3yo retains potential
7 (5)
Wodao
Chestnut
J:William Carver(3)
T:Jamie Osborne
J:William Carver(3)
T:Jamie Osborne
 126 t 97-830
93
115
101
 20d — — +9
11.3
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Well beaten in the Portland but showed spark previously; well served by testing ground
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Never So Brave
 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 7/2
Rohaan
 7/2 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2
Holkham Bay
 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1
Baradar
 15/2 7/1 7/1 15/2 7/1
Garfield Shadow
 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 10/1
Commanche Falls
 12/1 10/1 11/1 10/1 10/1
Wobwobwob
 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 14/1
Ferrous
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Palmar Bay
 20/1 18/1 20/1 18/1 18/1
Wodao
 50/1 40/1 50/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Never So Brave
28.5
OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7
7/2
2nd Holkham Bay
24.7
OR: 11.3 Form: 9 Odds: 4.4
5/1
3rd Garfield Shadow
23.4
OR: 10.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.5
10/1
4 Rohaan
18.1
OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5
4/1
5 Commanche Falls
17.6
OR: 14 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1
12/1
6 Ferrous
15.8
OR: 11 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.9
12/1
7 Baradar
14.3
OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
15/2
8 Palmar Bay
12.7
OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4
20/1
9 Wobwobwob
11.4
OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
14/1
10 Wodao
11.3
OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
50/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Commanche Falls
106
117
95
Never So Brave
101
114
98
Holkham Bay
95
116
93
Rohaan
94
120
105
Baradar
94
118
77
Ferrous
94
116
103
Garfield Shadow
93
114
105
Wodao
93
115
101
Wobwobwob
88
115
106
Palmar Bay
87
114
82

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Baradar 6d ago Quick return
Wobwobwob 6d ago Quick return
Rohaan 13d ago Quick return
Commanche Falls 13d ago Quick return
Holkham Bay 20d ago Fit
Garfield Shadow 20d ago Fit
Wodao 20d ago Fit
Ferrous 27d ago Fit
Never So Brave 43d ago Fit
Palmar Bay 53d ago Fresh