Molton Brown Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (For Male Amateur Riders)

Ascot

14:12

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,773

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (12)	Shaladar Bay J:Mr Jack Callan(5) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Mr Jack Callan(5) T:Kevin Ryan	161	p	057442	77	68	49	28d	—	—	-1	17.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On 19-race losing sequence but fine second here last time and strong claims on that form
6 (4)	Dakota Power Bay J:Mr Simon Walker T:Roger Teal	J:Mr Simon Walker T:Roger Teal	156	—	150613	72	67	39	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	20.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Ffos Las then fair third here; can give another good account
12 (8)	Beau Jardine Bay J:Mr Eireann Cagney T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Mr Eireann Cagney T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	145	v	965430	61	63	44	22d	—	—	-6	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well beaten last time but soft ground suits and the first-time visor may give him a boost
7 (3)	Mercian Warrior Bay J:Mr Jack Nicholls(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Mr Jack Nicholls(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	154	—	28-792	72	66	44	19d	—	—	-2	8.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Went close at Bath latest; unraced on testing ground; in the mix if backing up last time
5 (6)	Warning Sign Chestnut J:Mr David Dunsdon T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Mr David Dunsdon T:Gary & Josh Moore	156	v	000222	72	63	51	39d	—	—	+10	18.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Versatile sort who has been runner-up under David Dunsdon over 1m-1m4f in last three races
4 (9)	Whenthedealinsdone Bay J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Roger Teal	J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Roger Teal	156	p	324353	72	66	56	30d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unraced beyond 6f but kept on well over that trip last time (AW) and is not discounted
11 (10)	Willy Campbell Bay J:Mr Ned Sangster(5) T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Mr Ned Sangster(5) T:Sylvester Kirk	150	—	-83229	68	63	25	14d	—	—	+8	12.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two good AW runs last month but well beaten at Newbury since; something to prove on turf
8 (7)	Jackson Street Bay J:Mr Fletcher Yarham T:Dylan Cunha	J:Mr Fletcher Yarham T:Dylan Cunha	154	—	666320	72	65	45	15d	—	—	+6	12.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Made it 0-11 when disappointing last time but in good form previously and not written off
3 (14)	King Cabo b/br J:Mr Jude Fernandes(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Mr Jude Fernandes(7) T:Luke Dace	157	—	061485	73	62	51	13d	—	—	+6	10	5.50/1	22/1 4%
In good form on good going in August but below par on soft/heavy ground the last twice
10 (2)	Crazy Luck Bay J:Mr Patrick Millman T:Rod Millman	J:Mr Patrick Millman T:Rod Millman	152	—	004740	68	63	50	19d	—	—	+2	5.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Patchy form since winning at Nottingham in May but she's now 6lb lower
13 (5)	Al Shabab Bay J:Mr B M Coonan(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Mr B M Coonan(5) T:Ian Williams	142	—	-00899	60	64	42	13d	—	—	0	3.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Enduring tough 3yo campaign but glimmer of encouragement latest; could have part to play
14 (13)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Mr Guy Mitchell(5) T:Simon Dow	J:Mr Guy Mitchell(5) T:Simon Dow	142	h	706541	58	60	42	34d	—	—	+9	13.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won on Lingfield AW last time but Polytrack seems to bring out the best in him
9 (1)	Diffident Spirit Bay J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:T J Kent	J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:T J Kent	152	—	1202-9	68	67	-	96d	—	—	+2	5.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Remains to be seen how much ability he retains but he's suited by testing conditions
NR (11)	Be Frank Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	160	—	394944	76	65	57	13d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Respectable efforts when fourth the last twice (including here) and might not be far away

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shaladar	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Dakota Power	4/1	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Beau Jardine	5/1	4/1	9/2	6/1	13/2
Mercian Warrior	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Warning Sign	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Whenthedealinsdone	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Willy Campbell	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Jackson Street	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
King Cabo	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Crazy Luck	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Al Shabab	25/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	25/1
Rabinal	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Diffident Spirit	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dakota Power

20.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Warning Sign

18.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 11 Odds: 2.4

9/1

3rd

Shaladar

17.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Rabinal

13.1

OR: 2 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Willy Campbell

12.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Whenthedealinsdone

12.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Jackson Street

12.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

King Cabo

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Beau Jardine

9.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

13/2

Mercian Warrior

8.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Be Frank

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Crazy Luck

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Diffident Spirit

5.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Al Shabab

3.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shaladar	77	68	49
Be Frank	76	65	57
King Cabo	73	62	51
Dakota Power	72	67	39
Mercian Warrior	72	66	44
Warning Sign	72	63	51
Whenthedealinsdone	72	66	56
Jackson Street	72	65	45
Willy Campbell	68	63	25
Crazy Luck	68	63	50
Diffident Spirit	68	67	—
Beau Jardine	61	63	44
Al Shabab	60	64	42
Rabinal	58	60	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Cabo	13d ago	Quick return
Al Shabab	13d ago	Quick return
Be Frank	13d ago	Quick return
Willy Campbell	14d ago	Fit
Jackson Street	15d ago	Fit
Mercian Warrior	19d ago	Fit
Crazy Luck	19d ago	Fit
Beau Jardine	22d ago	Fit
Shaladar	28d ago	Fit
Dakota Power	28d ago	Fit
Whenthedealinsdone	30d ago	Fit
Rabinal	34d ago	Fit
Warning Sign	39d ago	Fit
Diffident Spirit	96d ago	Long break