Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 2m 26.34s (slow by 7.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lady Of Time (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	18/1	Won
2nd	Fiftyshadesaresdev (FR) Joanna Mason · Micky Hammond	25/1	1.25
3rd	Sisterandbrother (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Kevin Frost	18/1	.5
4th	Kalikapour (IRE) Tom Marquand · Roger Fell	5/2F	0.1
5th	Lenny's Spirit (FR) Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	16/1	0.05
6th	Lednikov (GB) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado	33/1	0.1
7th	The Pug (IRE) Joey Haynes · Sylvester Kirk	16/5	1.5
8th	Olympicus (USA) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	13/2	0.05
9th	Zooks (FR) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	11/1	1.5
10th	Mon Etoile (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	5/1	6.5
11th	On The Bubble (GB) Cieren Fallon · Ben Haslam	80/1	2
12th	Oscar Doodle (GB) Cam Hardie · Olly Williams	40/1	4.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Kalikapour Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Fell	J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Fell	135	t	057833	60	70	67	21d	—	—	-8	14.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Third in his last two starts on turf and could again go well down another 1lb
4 (7)	The Pug Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Joey Haynes T:Sylvester Kirk	133	p	875024	58	77	51	29d	—	—	-9	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Record over C&D reads 112; 4lb below his last winning mark and respected
7 (3)	Mon Etoile Grey J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	129	v	783321	59	73	27	23d	—	—	+8	22.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Off the mark when just beating a subsequent winner at Newcastle last time; leading claims
6 (2)	Olympicus Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	132	h	-80959	57	74	61	16d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
9lb below sole winning mark, but not shown much since returning in June
8 (12)	Zooks Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	128	—	459648	53	69	62	12d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-13 under both codes; still not sure what her ideal trip is; opposable
1 (5)	Lenny's Spirit b/br J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	135	tv	408996	60	74	39	21d	—	—	-3	4.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
10lb below last winning mark, but 1-21 on the AW and modest of late
3 (1)	Sisterandbrother Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	135	h	383507	60	73	-	14d	—	—	0	4.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
2lb below last winning mark, but out of the frame in all four starts on the AW
12 (6)	Lady Of Time Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	123	t	9-5724	53	71	-	107d	—	—	-4	2.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-7 but ran well in last two starts on turf; wouldn't need to find much more on AW debut
11 (11)	Fiftyshadesaresdev Grey J:Joanna Mason T:Micky Hammond	J:Joanna Mason T:Micky Hammond	124	t	550726	49	70	49	16d	—	—	0	4.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not beaten far at Newcastle last month but not so good there last time; 0-26 under rules
5 (9)	Oscar Doodle Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Olly Williams	J:Cam Hardie T:Olly Williams	133	—	250-42	58	73	66	—	—	—	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four AW wins, but makes his stable debut after five months off and the run may be needed
9 (8)	Lednikov Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	125	p	44-089	50	75	31	150d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
14lb below last winning mark, but modest this year and back from another five months off
10 (4)	On The Bubble Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ben Haslam	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ben Haslam	125	h	69-817	55	71	-	—	—	—	0	1.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Career has been a contrast so far; not sure what to expect after four months off

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kalikapour	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
The Pug	10/3	10/3	16/5	3/1	3/1
Mon Etoile	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Olympicus	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zooks	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Lenny's Spirit	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	17/2
Sisterandbrother	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Lady Of Time	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Fiftyshadesaresdev	20/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	16/1
Oscar Doodle	25/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Lednikov	28/1	33/1	28/1	40/1	28/1
On The Bubble	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mon Etoile

22.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Kalikapour

14.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

The Pug

11.7

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Olympicus

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Lenny's Spirit

4.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Fiftyshadesaresdev

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Sisterandbrother

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Oscar Doodle

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Zooks

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Lady Of Time

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

On The Bubble

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Lednikov

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kalikapour	60	70	67
Lenny's Spirit	60	74	39
Sisterandbrother	60	73	—
Mon Etoile	59	73	27
The Pug	58	77	51
Oscar Doodle	58	73	66
Olympicus	57	74	61
On The Bubble	55	71	—
Zooks	53	69	62
Lady Of Time	53	71	—
Lednikov	50	75	31
Fiftyshadesaresdev	49	70	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zooks	12d ago	Quick return
Sisterandbrother	14d ago	Fit
Olympicus	16d ago	Fit
Fiftyshadesaresdev	16d ago	Fit
Kalikapour	21d ago	Fit
Lenny's Spirit	21d ago	Fit
Mon Etoile	23d ago	Fit
The Pug	29d ago	Fit
Lady Of Time	107d ago	Long break
Lednikov	150d ago	Long break
Oscar Doodle	—	—
On The Bubble	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.