Betting.Betfair.com Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:20

Betting.Betfair.com Handicap

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Baraq Grey J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	141	—	238211	89	97	71	8d	—	—	+14	36.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Improved for switch to front-running, winning twice over 1m; can complete quick hat-trick
3 (5)	Red Hat Eagle Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	138	—	112945	83	93	65	21d	—	—	-1	17	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner whose latest Ayr fifth was creditable; each-way claims
10 (7)	My Margie Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	132	—	140758	80	89	23	44d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has struggled on turf lately but her two wins came around 1m on AW
5 (2)	Hosanna Power Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	137	—	3-1396	82	91	60	16d	—	—	+2	13.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Excuses for last two defeats and travels like one who could prove effective back at 1m
8 (4)	Eagle Day Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:David Evans	J:Dylan Hogan T:David Evans	134	—	110052	79	90	70	33d	—	—	+8	16.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Second at Wolverhampton latest but he's 5lb above the mark he won off over C&D in July
13 (11)	Berkshire Nugget Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	124	p	234818	72	91	73	29d	—	—	+8	15.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Landed odds in weak 7f turf maiden in August; possibly unsuited by heavy ground since
4 (6)	Great Blasket Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Edward Greatrex T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	137	b	216838	82	92	-	25d	—	—	+8	13.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four 1m wins this year, including AW; ran poorly over 1m2f latest but 1m more suitable
9 (8)	Charming Whisper Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	133	—	144425	81	90	-	21d	—	—	+8	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Dual 1m winner this year and arrives in reasonable form; thereabouts
11 (9)	King Of Charm Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	132	—	262613	80	90	73	21d	—	—	+16	20.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
1m Sandown win in August and third over 7f at Newmarket since; return to 1m ideal; claims
1 (13)	Dutch Decoy Chestnut J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	142	—	532460	87	94	-	14d	—	—	+8	12.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Drops in grade here but he'll need things to go his way from stall 13
7 (10)	He's A Gentleman Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Hugo Palmer	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Hugo Palmer	135	v	072102	80	91	61	21d	—	—	+17	19.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won at Ayr in July; beaten 8l hen below-par second over 1m2f latest but 1m more suitable
12 (12)	The Hun Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Robert Eddery	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Robert Eddery	127	v	-62287	75	91	-	82d	—	—	+9	10.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Runner-up four times for Karl Burke but well held on yard debut in July; visor goes on
6 (1)	Sceptic Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Patrick Morris	J:Liam Keniry T:Patrick Morris	137	—	287-08	82	84	-	14d	—	—	+7	8.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Remote last of eight on recent yard debut and can only watch after that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Baraq	5/2	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
Red Hat Eagle	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3
My Margie	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Hosanna Power	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Eagle Day	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Berkshire Nugget	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Great Blasket	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Charming Whisper	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
King Of Charm	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Dutch Decoy	16/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
He's A Gentleman	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
The Hun	100/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sceptic	200/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Baraq

36.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 20.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

King Of Charm

20.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

3rd

He's A Gentleman

19.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Red Hat Eagle

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Eagle Day

16.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Berkshire Nugget

15.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Great Blasket

13.7

OR: 8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Hosanna Power

13.4

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Dutch Decoy

12.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Charming Whisper

12.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

My Margie

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

The Hun

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Sceptic

8.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baraq	89	97	71
Dutch Decoy	87	94	—
Red Hat Eagle	83	93	65
Hosanna Power	82	91	60
Great Blasket	82	92	—
Sceptic	82	84	—
Charming Whisper	81	90	—
My Margie	80	89	23
King Of Charm	80	90	73
He's A Gentleman	80	91	61
Eagle Day	79	90	70
The Hun	75	91	—
Berkshire Nugget	72	91	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baraq	8d ago	Quick return
Dutch Decoy	14d ago	Fit
Sceptic	14d ago	Fit
Hosanna Power	16d ago	Fit
Red Hat Eagle	21d ago	Fit
Charming Whisper	21d ago	Fit
King Of Charm	21d ago	Fit
He's A Gentleman	21d ago	Fit
Great Blasket	25d ago	Fit
Berkshire Nugget	29d ago	Fit
Eagle Day	33d ago	Fit
My Margie	44d ago	Fit
The Hun	82d ago	Fresh