Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

16:40

Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 12.87s (slow by 1.77s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gesundheit (GB) Oisin Murphy · Ed Walker	11/10F	Won
2nd	Manton Road (GB) Luke Morris · Jack Jones	40/1	1.5
3rd	Miakoda (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	8/1	.5
4th	Layaali (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	11/1	1.5
5th	Lady Lovebug (IRE) David Egan · Darryll Holland	100/1	2
6th	Dark Sorceress (GB) Marco Ghiani · Clare Hobson	40/1	0.2
7th	Perfect Parole (GB) Tom Marquand · Tom Ward	14/1	1.25
8th	Elementary Charge (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Craig Lidster	25/1	.5
9th	Quick Point (GB) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	5/2	2
10th	Glad Eye (GB) Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison	66/1	1
11th	Invincible Love (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	18/1	3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Gesundheit Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	137	—	709	60	61	-	24d	—	—	-25	15.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Well-bred colt and it wouldn't be a surprise if he showed a lot more on this nursery debut
3 (2)	Quick Point Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	136	—	008	59	56	44	40d	—	—	-12	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unexposed colt who is bred to much better than this opening mark; needs watching in market
1 (4)	Miakoda Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	137	—	093429	60	63	55	18d	—	—	0	9.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Went close on Tapeta on penultimate run and this return to 6f looks a positive; big player
4 (1)	Perfect Parole Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	134	—	057	57	63	-	87d	—	—	-4	4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well held in three maidens and she needs improvement on nursery/AW debut
10 (3)	Layaali Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	131	—	86503	54	65	38	13d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Improved form when close third in Newcastle nursery latest; respected up just 1lb
5 (11)	Invincible Love Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	868	56	62	-	31d	—	—	-3	3.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has wide draw on nursery debut but he's a possible improver and needs a market check
6 (8)	Elementary Charge Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Craig Lidster	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Craig Lidster	133	—	555	56	60	-	122d	—	—	-2	2.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Regressive RPRs in her three runs so far and latest was in a seller; opposable on return
9 (10)	Dark Sorceress Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	131	—	375295	54	57	46	28d	—	—	+2	4.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Six-race maiden with a mixed record and was well held here last time; down the list
7 (6)	Glad Eye Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	133	h	077	56	60	26	19d	—	—	0	2.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has not shown much so far but she could do better with hood now added on nursery debut
11 (9)	Manton Road Bay J:Luke Morris T:Jack Jones	J:Luke Morris T:Jack Jones	122	e/s	0007	45	52	36	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has struggled in all four runs including a 1m nursery; opposable
8 (5)	Lady Lovebug Bay J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	132	b	7778	55	58	33	14d	—	—	0	1.6	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Form figures of 7778 so far and needs to significantly raise her game at this new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Gesundheit	11/10	evn	11/10	11/10	11/10
Quick Point	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Miakoda	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	9/1
Perfect Parole	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Layaali	8/1	8/1	8/1	9/1	8/1
Invincible Love	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Elementary Charge	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Dark Sorceress	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Glad Eye	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Manton Road	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	80/1
Lady Lovebug	125/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gesundheit

15.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Miakoda

9.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.9

9/1

3rd

Quick Point

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Layaali

6.5

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Dark Sorceress

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Perfect Parole

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Invincible Love

3.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Elementary Charge

2.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Glad Eye

2.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lady Lovebug

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Manton Road

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gesundheit	60	61	—
Miakoda	60	63	55
Quick Point	59	56	44
Perfect Parole	57	63	—
Invincible Love	56	62	—
Elementary Charge	56	60	—
Glad Eye	56	60	26
Lady Lovebug	55	58	33
Layaali	54	65	38
Dark Sorceress	54	57	46
Manton Road	45	52	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Layaali	13d ago	Quick return
Lady Lovebug	14d ago	Fit
Manton Road	15d ago	Fit
Miakoda	18d ago	Fit
Glad Eye	19d ago	Fit
Gesundheit	24d ago	Fit
Dark Sorceress	28d ago	Fit
Invincible Love	31d ago	Fit
Quick Point	40d ago	Fit
Perfect Parole	87d ago	Fresh
Elementary Charge	122d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.