Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-15

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	L'Karama Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-29	14.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
180,000gns yearling; related to useful winners and entered in next year's Irish Guineas
1 (9)	Qaseem Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	137	—	722134	82	88	-	33d	—	—	+4	23.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Consistent 2yo who has run well in three of his nurseries at 6f/7f; solid claims
6 (8)	Royal Alliance Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	—	4	-	78	-	115d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fourth of eight at Newmarket behind the Dewhurst third; gelded since
2 (6)	Arkleside Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
66,000gns yearling and well related, with half-siblings including the smart Fearby
9 (3)	Yuvraaj Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	130	—	3	-	83	70	33d	—	—	-4	5.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Probably has to improve on his debut third here over 1m and he's dropping back in trip
8 (1)	War Hawk Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
180,000gns yearling; brother to 6f-1m1f winner Going Global (including 2yo/AW/US Grade 1)
7 (5)	Trojan Soldier Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Harrison Shaw T:Jedd O'Keeffe	130	—	6	-	73	54	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
150-1 when beaten 10l in a 1m maiden here 12 days ago and had to show more
3 (2)	Golborne Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	8	-	50	-	10d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Beaten 15l on soft ground at Redcar (7f) where a slow start didn't help
5 (7)	Precious Spartan Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	33	-	10d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Beat just one home at Redcar (7f, soft) when behind Goldborne; opposable for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
L'Karama	11/10	5/4	11/10	11/10	10/11
Qaseem	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Royal Alliance	4/1	7/2	4/1	10/3	9/2
Arkleside	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Yuvraaj	11/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
War Hawk	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Trojan Soldier	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Golborne	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Precious Spartan	300/1	250/1	300/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Qaseem

23.3

OR: 8 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

L'Karama

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

5/4

3rd

Yuvraaj

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Royal Alliance

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Arkleside

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

War Hawk

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

18/1

Trojan Soldier

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Golborne

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Precious Spartan

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Qaseem	82	88	—
L'Karama	—	—	—
Royal Alliance	—	78	—
Arkleside	—	—	—
Yuvraaj	—	83	70
War Hawk	—	—	—
Trojan Soldier	—	73	54
Golborne	—	50	—
Precious Spartan	—	33	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golborne	10d ago	Quick return
Precious Spartan	10d ago	Quick return
Trojan Soldier	12d ago	Quick return
Qaseem	33d ago	Fit
Yuvraaj	33d ago	Fit
Royal Alliance	115d ago	Long break
L'Karama	—	—
Arkleside	—	—
War Hawk	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.