Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap (Div II)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-10-15

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Bullet Point Bay J:Clifford Lee T:William Haggas	J:Clifford Lee T:William Haggas	134	—	7544	74	81	63	18d	—	—	-17	16.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
No excuses from the front on handicap debut but could strip fitter this time
6 (8)	Yorkstone Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	1131-2	70	83	63	259d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/2P 2 runs	-1	14.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has been a long time absent but he's consistent and couldn't rule out
3 (3)	Commander Of Life Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	135	—	520443	75	84	74	50d	—	—	0	14.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Bought for 15,000gns since finishing a close third over 1m at Southwell
1 (7)	Parthenopaeus Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	138	—	236	75	86	24	28d	—	—	+1	14.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Positives in all three runs here and open to improvement now sent into handicaps
4 (4)	Roaring Ralph Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	b	719156	72	83	59	18d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+8	14.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Latest run wasn't his best but would have claims if getting his mojo back
8 (9)	Swordplay Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	020267	71	83	-	31d	—	—	+5	10.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has become wickedly unpredictable, having finished tailed off last time
7 (5)	Million Thanks Chestnut J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	133	tv	087504	70	84	53	13d	—	—	+1	6.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Kicked off his campaign with a win at Pontefract (1m, good) but has struggled since
2 (2)	Cusack Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	135	p	653500	72	84	75	80d	—	—	+2	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Goes well here but worryingly off colour in two runs following a lengthy break
9 (1)	Ravishing Beauty Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	127	—	6-5367	67	83	46	21d	—	—	+2	5.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Ran nice final race for Harry Charlton but beaten about 8l in two handicaps for this yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bullet Point	11/8	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Yorkstone	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Commander Of Life	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Parthenopaeus	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Roaring Ralph	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Swordplay	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Million Thanks	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Cusack	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Ravishing Beauty	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bullet Point

16.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Parthenopaeus

14.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Yorkstone

14.4

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Commander Of Life

14.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 4

5/1

Roaring Ralph

14.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Swordplay

10.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Cusack

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Million Thanks

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Ravishing Beauty

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Commander Of Life	75	84	74
Parthenopaeus	75	86	24
Bullet Point	74	81	63
Roaring Ralph	72	83	59
Cusack	72	84	75
Swordplay	71	83	—
Yorkstone	70	83	63
Million Thanks	70	84	53
Ravishing Beauty	67	83	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Million Thanks	13d ago	Quick return
Bullet Point	18d ago	Fit
Roaring Ralph	18d ago	Fit
Ravishing Beauty	21d ago	Fit
Parthenopaeus	28d ago	Fit
Swordplay	31d ago	Fit
Commander Of Life	50d ago	Fresh
Cusack	80d ago	Fresh
Yorkstone	259d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.