Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 59.13s (slow by 2.13s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lady Nunthorpe (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Geoff Oldroyd	6/1	Won
2nd	Rogue De Vega (GB) Alex Jary · Antony Brittain	5/1	1
3rd	Papa Don't Preach (IRE) Joe Leavy · Kevin Frost	11/8F	.75
4th	Soul Singer (GB) Amie Waugh · Tim Easterby	7/1	.75
5th	Street Life (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Patrick Morris	11/1	0.3
6th	Vadamiah (IRE) Mark Winn · Paul Midgley	22/1	3.75
7th	Azucena (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Ann Duffield	9/1	1.5
8th	Al Najada (IRE) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	80/1	1
9th	Eeh Bah Gum (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Michael Appleby	20/1	2.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Papa Don't Preach Bay J:Joe Leavy T:Kevin Frost	J:Joe Leavy T:Kevin Frost	136	b	463581	63	78	66	5d	—	—	-10	25.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Comfortable win in blinkers at Wolverhampton on Saturday; can go in again if in same form
5 (2)	Rogue De Vega Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Antony Brittain	132	h	390208	59	76	69	3d	—	—	-6	9.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Went close at Newcastle last month but down the field twice since, taking losing run to 17
3 (6)	Lady Nunthorpe Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Geoff Oldroyd	134	p	55-883	61	73	64	14d	—	—	-7	6.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back-to-form third on AW in cheekpieces 14 days ago; claims if she can build on that
4 (3)	Soul Singer Bay J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	133	—	552014	60	74	26	16d	—	—	+3	14.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won weak novice last month but 0-9 in handicaps after latest Newcastle fourth
2 (4)	Azucena Bay J:Aiden Brookes T:Ann Duffield	J:Aiden Brookes T:Ann Duffield	135	—	-37071	62	74	53	13d	—	—	+7	16	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Back to form to take advantage of reduced mark at Newcastle 13 days ago; respected up 6lb
9 (8)	Street Life Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	122	b	223927	49	74	65	13d	—	—	+1	7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three C&D wins; also second here last month and can bounce back from lesser run latest
8 (9)	Vadamiah Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	130	p	509564	57	73	38	18d	—	—	-1	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Three wins at Catterick in 2022 but hasn't added to them since; cheekpieces go on now
7 (7)	Eeh Bah Gum Bay J:Oisin McSweeney T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Michael Appleby	130	—	590575	57	74	34	15d	—	—	-1	2.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Is falling in th weights without obviously shaping as if ready to take advantage
6 (1)	Al Najada Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	131	h	75950-	58	70	-	482d	—	—	+1	2.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Makes belated return for a new yard; could only consider if backed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Papa Don't Preach	11/8	5/4	11/8
Rogue De Vega	5/1	9/2	5/1
Lady Nunthorpe	5/1	11/2	5/1
Soul Singer	13/2	7/1	7/1
Azucena	10/1	10/1	10/1
Street Life	18/1	14/1	16/1
Vadamiah	22/1	22/1	22/1
Eeh Bah Gum	25/1	22/1	25/1
Al Najada	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Papa Don't Preach

25.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Azucena

OR: 3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Soul Singer

14.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Rogue De Vega

9.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Street Life

OR: 0 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Lady Nunthorpe

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Vadamiah

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Eeh Bah Gum

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Al Najada

2.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Papa Don't Preach	63	78	66
Azucena	62	74	53
Lady Nunthorpe	61	73	64
Soul Singer	60	74	26
Rogue De Vega	59	76	69
Al Najada	58	70	—
Vadamiah	57	73	38
Eeh Bah Gum	57	74	34
Street Life	49	74	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue De Vega	3d ago	Quick return
Papa Don't Preach	5d ago	Quick return
Azucena	13d ago	Quick return
Street Life	13d ago	Quick return
Lady Nunthorpe	14d ago	Fit
Eeh Bah Gum	15d ago	Fit
Soul Singer	16d ago	Fit
Vadamiah	18d ago	Fit
Al Najada	482d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.