William Hill Saturday Top Price Guarantee Handicap (Div II)

Catterick

16:05

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,154

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Racingbreaks Ryder Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Charles Hills	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Charles Hills	139	—	533042	79	92	79	6d	—	—	-5	22.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Runner-up off reduced mark in the mud at Goodwood latest and he's in the mix
3 (6)	Zainabb Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Charlie Fellowes	135	—	258144	77	86	67	43d	—	—	-1	17.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won over C&D in July but she's been well held in both runs since and is now 1-10
6 (4)	Mister Sox Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	128	p	212442	68	91	79	12d	—	—	-1	18.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won here in May and was a good second at Pontefract latest; interesting back up in trip
2 (7)	Red Mirage Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	137	—	106345	77	87	74	18d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won over C&D in April but he hasn't matched that form since; needs to raise his game
8 (8)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	124	—	581367	64	87	83	8d	—	—	+3	9.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On last winning mark but she's been well held last twice and needs to get back on track
5 (3)	Keep Warm Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	-42628	73	86	62	54d	—	—	+7	12.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Mixed form this season and this drop back in trip is not sure to suit; others preferred
9 (1)	Desert Dream Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	119	t	353113	59	88	75	16d	—	—	+15	19.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two C&D wins in August/September before a creditable third on AW latest; respected
4 (9)	Roundhay Park Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	964985	72	90	78	12d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Down the field in his last three runs and looks opposable back up in trip/grade
7 (5)	Naval Academy Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Mark Walford	J:Connor Beasley T:Mark Walford	125	—	217079	65	86	85	12d	—	—	+4	6.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Disappointing since his Haydock win in May and needs a major turnaround; equipment removed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Racingbreaks Ryder	9/4	9/4	85/40	2/1	2/1
Zainabb	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Mister Sox	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Red Mirage	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Giselles Izzy	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Keep Warm	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Desert Dream	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Roundhay Park	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Naval Academy	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Racingbreaks Ryder

22.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Desert Dream

19.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 1.1

20/1

3rd

Mister Sox

18.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Zainabb

17.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Red Mirage

12.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Keep Warm

12.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Giselles Izzy

9.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Roundhay Park

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Naval Academy

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Racingbreaks Ryder	79	92	79
Zainabb	77	86	67
Red Mirage	77	87	74
Keep Warm	73	86	62
Roundhay Park	72	90	78
Mister Sox	68	91	79
Naval Academy	65	86	85
Giselles Izzy	64	87	83
Desert Dream	59	88	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Racingbreaks Ryder	6d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	8d ago	Quick return
Mister Sox	12d ago	Quick return
Roundhay Park	12d ago	Quick return
Naval Academy	12d ago	Quick return
Desert Dream	16d ago	Fit
Red Mirage	18d ago	Fit
Zainabb	43d ago	Fit
Keep Warm	54d ago	Fresh