Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:08

Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 40.59s (slow by 2.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lough Leane (IRE) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	6/1	Won
2nd	Lerwick (GB) P J McDonald · Edward Bethell	7/2F	.5
3rd	Invincible Aura (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Marco Botti	11/2	0.3
4th	Lyndon B (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Rhys Flint	12/1	.5
5th	Enola Grey (IRE) Rowan Scott · Gemma Tutty	22/1	1.25
6th	Bravo Zulu (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Daniel & Claire Kubler	9/2	1.75
7th	Bluelight Bay (IRE) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	11/1	0.2
8th	Lincoln Legacy (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Charlie Johnston	28/1	1.25
9th	Shaw Park (IRE) Mikkel Mortensen · Scott Dixon	33/1	.75
10th	Magical Merlin (IRE) Millie Wonnacott · Harry Charlton	20/1	2
11th	Cloudy Skye (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	5/1	1.5
12th	Cori Glory (IRE) Jason Hart · Mark Walford	50/1	5.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Cloudy Skye Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	461302	78	89	71	16d	—	—	+4	21.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Progressive at around a mile; yet to run a poor race on AW; still not fully exposed
1 (4)	Lerwick Bay J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	138	—	23-715	80	89	-	32d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
2-11 on turf; not at his absolute best last time but still considered now switched to AW
7 (11)	Bravo Zulu Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	134	—	078500	79	88	68	6d	—	—	-5	12.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Looked a good prospect in early runs but handicaps haven't been fruitful; drops back to 1m
10 (8)	Invincible Aura Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	131	tp	598102	76	91	80	24d	—	—	+8	19.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner; better on AW than turf; latest second can be upgraded; lots to like
6 (6)	Lough Leane Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	134	—	523239	76	90	68	60d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Rattled off a 5-timer on AW in Feb/March; some solid runs since but below par latest
4 (1)	Bluelight Bay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	p	680603	78	88	77	19d	—	—	+4	12.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two best runs this year have come on his two AW starts; cheekpieces return; shortlisted
2 (10)	Lyndon B Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Rhys Flint	136	p	545265	78	89	-	30d	—	—	+5	11.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Over two years since his last win; some good runs in defeat this year; AW debut; e-w shout
3 (5)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	136	—	830053	78	90	63	27d	—	—	+8	11.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Conditions to suit and she's one to consider off her reduced mark
9 (7)	Magical Merlin Grey J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Harry Charlton	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Harry Charlton	132	b	352035	74	89	-	27d	—	—	+7	10.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
He has run some sound races at up to a mile this summer but others perhaps better treated
12 (2)	Lincoln Legacy Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	1085-8	73	87	51	16d	—	—	+3	6.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Low-key return from a year out this month; Oisin Murphy booked but carries risk
11 (3)	Shaw Park Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	129	—	631465	71	88	71	28d	—	—	+7	9.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three 7f wins at Brighton this year; stays 1m and handles Tapeta; vulnerable up in class
5 (12)	Cori Glory Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	135	—	-17090	77	87	-	10d	—	—	+8	9.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten on her last three starts; fair mark if reviving but others look much safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cloudy Skye	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Lerwick	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Bravo Zulu	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Invincible Aura	13/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Lough Leane	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bluelight Bay	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lyndon B	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Enola Grey	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Magical Merlin	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Lincoln Legacy	20/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1
Shaw Park	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Cori Glory	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cloudy Skye

21.5

OR: 7 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Invincible Aura

19.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Lough Leane

16.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Bravo Zulu

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Bluelight Bay

12.2

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Lerwick

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Enola Grey

11.6

OR: 7 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1

22/1

Lyndon B

11.2

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Magical Merlin

10.5

OR: 6 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Shaw Park

9.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Cori Glory

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Lincoln Legacy

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lerwick	80	89	—
Bravo Zulu	79	88	68
Cloudy Skye	78	89	71
Bluelight Bay	78	88	77
Lyndon B	78	89	—
Enola Grey	78	90	63
Cori Glory	77	87	—
Invincible Aura	76	91	80
Lough Leane	76	90	68
Magical Merlin	74	89	—
Lincoln Legacy	73	87	51
Shaw Park	71	88	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bravo Zulu	6d ago	Quick return
Cori Glory	10d ago	Quick return
Cloudy Skye	16d ago	Fit
Lincoln Legacy	16d ago	Fit
Bluelight Bay	19d ago	Fit
Invincible Aura	24d ago	Fit
Enola Grey	27d ago	Fit
Magical Merlin	27d ago	Fit
Shaw Park	28d ago	Fit
Lyndon B	30d ago	Fit
Lerwick	32d ago	Fit
Lough Leane	60d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.