Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:05

Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 41.84s (slow by 4.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hippocratic Oath (GB) Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	100/30F	Won
2nd	Patrol (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	13/2	1.5
3rd	Telecommunication (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Michael Bell	15/2	4
4th	Pine Cliffs (GB) Robert Havlin · Jonathan Portman	25/1	.5
5th	Skyelight (GB) Saffie Osborne · Dean Ivory	40/1	0.3
6th	Kilpatrick Prince (IRE) Rowan Scott · Alice Haynes	40/1	2.25
7th	Risk (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Tom Dascombe	4/1	1.25
8th	Never The Twain (GB) Jason Hart · Archie Watson	33/1	.5
9th	Winston's Folly (IRE) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	22/1	0.2
10th	Pay Attention (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Tom Ward	7/2	4.25
11th	Sybaris Jewel (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	28/1	6
12th	Jack Andrea (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Robert Eddery	9/1	1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Pay Attention Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	135	—	48034	64	69	57	13d	—	—	-7	11	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Form of sole AW effort (debut) has worked out very well; interesting back in this sphere
5 (12)	Hippocratic Oath Grey J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	135	—	4081	64	69	44	16d	—	—	+1	18.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won at Wolverhampton this month on handicap debut; open to further progress; respected
2 (8)	Risk Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Tom Dascombe	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Tom Dascombe	135	p	088	64	67	-	56d	—	—	-9	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Gelded since last run; may well improve now handicapping at a lesser level; interesting
7 (3)	Patrol Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	134	—	883544	63	72	58	52d	—	—	-5	7.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Made the frame off this mark on final run for William Haggas; sold for 17,000gns since
8 (4)	Jack Andrea Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Robert Eddery	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Robert Eddery	134	—	336247	63	70	39	25d	—	—	0	8.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Good second off this mark at Salisbury on sole Class 6 attempt; could go well
9 (1)	Telecommunication Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	134	—	968	63	66	-	41d	—	—	-3	5.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
May do better now qualified for a mark and dropped in class; check the betting
12 (11)	Winston's Folly Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	130	b	7957	59	62	45	11d	—	—	-1	3.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Combination of switch to 1m and first-time headgear may do the trick
1 (2)	Sybaris Jewel Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	135	p	046552	64	68	57	36d	—	—	+4	10.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Close second upped to 1m at Musselburgh last time; possibilities kept to this distance
3 (7)	Kilpatrick Prince Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	135	—	6358	64	71	38	11d	—	—	+3	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Failed to settle over 1m2f last time; may resume his improvement back at 1m
6 (5)	Never The Twain Bay J:Jason Hart T:Archie Watson	J:Jason Hart T:Archie Watson	135	—	4775	64	68	40	16d	—	—	+2	4.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
4l behind Hippocratic Oath at Wolverhampton but this bare 1m may suit her better
10 (9)	Skyelight Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Dean Ivory	J:Saffie Osborne T:Dean Ivory	133	—	606	62	64	8	54d	—	—	+1	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
One of a few runners who may be invigorated by the switch to handicap level
11 (10)	Pine Cliffs Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Jonathan Portman	J:Robert Havlin T:Jonathan Portman	132	—	0366	61	67	58	16d	—	—	+2	5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Behind a couple of these rivals at Wolverhampton last time but may fare better here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pay Attention	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Hippocratic Oath	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Risk	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Patrol	7/1	15/2	7/1	13/2	8/1
Jack Andrea	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Telecommunication	8/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2
Winston's Folly	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	14/1
Sybaris Jewel	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	12/1
Kilpatrick Prince	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Never The Twain	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Skyelight	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	28/1
Pine Cliffs	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hippocratic Oath

18.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Pay Attention

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Sybaris Jewel

10.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Jack Andrea

8.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Risk

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Patrol

7.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Kilpatrick Prince

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Telecommunication

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Pine Cliffs

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Never The Twain

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Skyelight

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Winston's Folly

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pay Attention	64	69	57
Hippocratic Oath	64	69	44
Risk	64	67	—
Sybaris Jewel	64	68	57
Kilpatrick Prince	64	71	38
Never The Twain	64	68	40
Patrol	63	72	58
Jack Andrea	63	70	39
Telecommunication	63	66	—
Skyelight	62	64	8
Pine Cliffs	61	67	58
Winston's Folly	59	62	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Winston's Folly	11d ago	Quick return
Kilpatrick Prince	11d ago	Quick return
Pay Attention	13d ago	Quick return
Hippocratic Oath	16d ago	Fit
Never The Twain	16d ago	Fit
Pine Cliffs	16d ago	Fit
Jack Andrea	25d ago	Fit
Sybaris Jewel	36d ago	Fit
Telecommunication	41d ago	Fit
Patrol	52d ago	Fresh
Skyelight	54d ago	Fresh
Risk	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.