Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:25

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-10-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 0.74s (slow by 3.24s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Better (IRE) Mark Winn · Paul Midgley	11/1	Won
2nd	Northerner (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	9/2	.75
3rd	Stallone (IRE) William Pyle · Michael Dods	13/2	0.3
4th	The Princes Poet (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Ian McInnes	50/1	0.2
5th	Cuban Rock (GB) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	5/1	0.3
6th	Sassy Soprano (IRE) David Allan · Ann Duffield	9/1	1
7th	Elzaal (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	4/1F	0.05
8th	Sacred Melody (GB) Jason Hart · Ruth Carr	22/1	1.25
9th	Sixcor (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Linda Perratt	6/1	1.5
10th	Mecca's Duchess (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	16/1	.5
11th	Joshua R (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Helen Cuthbert	40/1	1.5
12th	Rockley Point (GB) Sam James · Katie Scott	11/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Northerner Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	134	p	429644	54	65	58	19d	—	—	-12	7.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-7 but latest C&D 4th can be upgraded and she's capable of better; down in grade now
5 (10)	Sixcor Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	133	p	084691	53	69	42	8d	—	—	0	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Easy win at Musselburgh last week; solid claims despite a penalty
10 (9)	Cuban Rock Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	126	—	539043	46	64	-	8d	—	—	-5	6.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Hamilton win in July off a higher mark; fair third behind Sixcor latest; not ruled out
7 (1)	Stallone Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Michael Dods	J:William Pyle(3) T:Michael Dods	129	v	894594	49	71	54	21d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Conditions to suit and he's coming here in fair form; considered
12 (8)	Sassy Soprano Bay J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	126	—	733459	46	67	57	21d	—	—	-5	4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Exposed maiden whose best form has come over 6f; others are more appealing
1 (3)	Better Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	135	—	540064	55	66	43	18d	—	—	-5	3.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Best run for new yard when 4th over C&D 18 days ago; not sure to build on it
9 (6)	Rockley Point Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	126	b	875033	46	68	56	18d	—	—	0	7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Veteran who comes here on the back of two solid C&D runs; should be involved
6 (2)	Elzaal Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	129	—	485007	49	72	57	81d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Multiple C&D winner; current wellbeing not easy to assess but he's on a dangerous mark
4 (5)	Mecca's Duchess Grey J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	133	b	037453	53	66	59	23d	—	—	+1	5.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-16 but she's been running well of late and conditions are no issue; shortlist material
2 (12)	Sacred Melody Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	134	—	-00806	54	64	57	10d	—	—	-2	2.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Poor form for new yard; down in weights but hard to recommend
8 (7)	Joshua R Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Helen Cuthbert	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Helen Cuthbert	127	p	74-960	47	68	30	21d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Yet to shine in a light 2024 campaign; too much to prove for comfort
11 (4)	The Princes Poet Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian McInnes	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian McInnes	126	eb	098009	46	65	48	12d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Struggled for current yard and latest change of headgear isn't enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Northerner	7/2	3/1	10/3	3/1	7/2
Sixcor	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cuban Rock	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Stallone	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sassy Soprano	8/1	8/1	17/2	9/1	9/1
Better	8/1	12/1	10/1	17/2	9/1
Rockley Point	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Elzaal	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Mecca's Duchess	14/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Sacred Melody	20/1	18/1	22/1	25/1	18/1
Joshua R	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
The Princes Poet	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sixcor

15.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Northerner

7.7

OR: 1 Form: 1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Rockley Point

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cuban Rock

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Mecca's Duchess

5.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sassy Soprano

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Better

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Stallone

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sacred Melody

2.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Elzaal

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Joshua R

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

The Princes Poet

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Better	55	66	43
Northerner	54	65	58
Sacred Melody	54	64	57
Sixcor	53	69	42
Mecca's Duchess	53	66	59
Stallone	49	71	54
Elzaal	49	72	57
Joshua R	47	68	30
Cuban Rock	46	64	—
Sassy Soprano	46	67	57
Rockley Point	46	68	56
The Princes Poet	46	65	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sixcor	8d ago	Quick return
Cuban Rock	8d ago	Quick return
Sacred Melody	10d ago	Quick return
The Princes Poet	12d ago	Quick return
Better	18d ago	Fit
Rockley Point	18d ago	Fit
Northerner	19d ago	Fit
Stallone	21d ago	Fit
Sassy Soprano	21d ago	Fit
Joshua R	21d ago	Fit
Mecca's Duchess	23d ago	Fit
Elzaal	81d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.