My Pension Expert Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

16:05

My Pension Expert Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,020

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Lunar Eclipse Grey J:William Buick T:Kevin Ryan	J:William Buick T:Kevin Ryan	125	—	1-5	81	100	77	171d	—	—	+1	20.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Twice-raced filly who is open to progress back down in class on debut for new stable
6 (8)	Zapphire Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	128	—	322103	81	101	83	18d	—	—	+6	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Northern filly; largely consistent; ran creditably in series final at Redcar last time
3 (3)	Surveyor Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	131	—	158123	87	99	76	18d	—	—	+9	25.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has form figures of 123 since switched to fillies' handicaps; ran creditably on AW latest
1 (7)	Twirling Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ryan Moore T:Simon & Ed Crisford	140	t	310336	93	101	87	46d	—	—	+9	19.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has shown useful form on a few occasions this season; thereabouts provided it is repeated
5 (4)	Queen's Reign Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	130	—	-41327	86	99	86	18d	—	—	+12	19.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Came up short in Listed grade last time; has form figures of 4132 in handicaps
4 (2)	Nocturnal Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	131	p	1-1068	87	96	64	48d	—	—	+11	18.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not disgraced at major festivals on two occasions; first-time headgear may give her boost
2 (10)	Forever Blue Bay J:James Doyle T:Ralph Beckett	J:James Doyle T:Ralph Beckett	135	b	5-1000	91	96	76	12d	—	—	+6	11.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Combination of drop back in class and first-time headgear may have positive effect
9 (1)	Ziggy's Phoenix Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	124	p	250135	80	98	77	10d	—	—	+10	16.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Remains in form but a career-best performance is needed off current mark
10 (9)	Mallavelly Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	122	p	234843	78	98	88	24d	—	—	+6	12.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Consistent sort but she's the only maiden in this field; the headgear needs to help
7 (5)	Bellarchi Chestnut J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	127	—	650779	83	97	75	18d	—	—	+7	8.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Defied a higher mark at Ascot in May but was in much better form at the time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lunar Eclipse	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Zapphire	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Surveyor	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Twirling	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Queen's Reign	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1
Nocturnal	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Forever Blue	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Ziggy's Phoenix	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Mallavelly	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Bellarchi	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Surveyor

25.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Zapphire

23.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Lunar Eclipse

20.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Twirling

19.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Queen's Reign

19.1

OR: 9 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Nocturnal

18.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ziggy's Phoenix

16.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Mallavelly

12.3

OR: 7 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Forever Blue

11.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Bellarchi

8.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Twirling	93	101	87
Forever Blue	91	96	76
Surveyor	87	99	76
Nocturnal	87	96	64
Queen's Reign	86	99	86
Bellarchi	83	97	75
Lunar Eclipse	81	100	77
Zapphire	81	101	83
Ziggy's Phoenix	80	98	77
Mallavelly	78	98	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ziggy's Phoenix	10d ago	Quick return
Forever Blue	12d ago	Quick return
Zapphire	18d ago	Fit
Surveyor	18d ago	Fit
Queen's Reign	18d ago	Fit
Bellarchi	18d ago	Fit
Mallavelly	24d ago	Fit
Twirling	46d ago	Fresh
Nocturnal	48d ago	Fresh
Lunar Eclipse	171d ago	Long break