TrustATrader Nursery Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

17:15

TrustATrader Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,381

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (9)	Al Misbar Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	135	—	423	83	85	80	36d	—	—	-2	22	5/2 29%
Needs more, but gelded since last time which could unlock the potential in his pedigree
7 (14)	Veydari Bay J:James Doyle T:Richard Fahey	J:James Doyle T:Richard Fahey	130	—	643031	78	90	83	16d	—	—	+6	25.7	7/2 22%
Made all at Pontefract on first run since being gelded; could take 7lb rise in his stride
2 (11)	Cairdeas Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	135	—	6310	83	90	68	41d	—	—	+8	20.1	13/2 13%
7f novice winner; mid-division in sales race last time but not ruled out on nursery debut
8 (1)	Aegean Sea Bay J:Ryan Moore T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Ryan Moore T:John & Thady Gosden	129	v	35305	77	90	71	11d	—	—	0	12.2	6/1 14%
Fair fifth over C&D recently but needs to raise his game; another new type of headgear
5 (12)	Megalithic Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	131	b	32365	79	89	77	10d	—	—	+4	13.4	11/1 8%
Goodwood last time was a step back in the right direction but he needs another today
11 (10)	Rokuni Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	p	494105	76	88	83	33d	—	—	+7	13.1	16/1 6%
Fair fifth of 14 in Newbury nursery last month and he holds each-way possibilities
14 (7)	Maldevious Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	122	—	843	70	84	82	26d	—	—	+4	9.6	14/1 7%
Trainer has enjoyed a good season with his 2yos and she's not ruled out on nursery debut
6 (3)	Ecology Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Ollie Sangster	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ollie Sangster	130	b	268	78	88	81	68d	—	—	+5	11.2	14/1 7%
Has gone backwards after promising debut, but one to watch in the betting in first nursery
9 (8)	Noble Guest Brown J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	128	—	745	76	84	75	36d	—	—	+1	8.6	16/1 6%
Nursery debut; well bred & gelded since last time, which may result in him settling better
10 (13)	Jakarta Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	71486	76	90	77	50d	—	—	+8	10.2	33/1 3%
Won at Goodwood (6f, good) in May on second run but unable to reproduce that promise
13 (6)	Help From Above Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Robert Eddery	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Robert Eddery	123	h	447	71	88	58	51d	—	—	+4	5.9	66/1 1%
Promising fourth on debut but two lesser runs have followed; wears a hood on nursery debut
NR (2)	We Dare To Dream Bay J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	133	—	221	81	88	65	48d	—	—	—	23.8	—
Made all at Haydock on third start and there's every chance he'll continue to progress
NR (4)	Arbitration Bay J:TBC T:K R Burke	J: T:K R Burke	132	—	555	80	88	88	39d	—	—	—	7.5	—
Improved run at Doncaster last time & makes nursery debut with powerful yard in good form
NR (5)	Stapleford Park Bay J:TBC T:Charlie Fellowes	J: T:Charlie Fellowes	126	—	42541	74	91	82	32d	—	—	—	17.5	—
Won when upped to 7f on nursery debut at Chester; could have more to offer at this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Al Misbar	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Veydari	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Cairdeas	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Aegean Sea	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Megalithic	11/1	17/2	15/2	9/1	9/1
Rokuni	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Maldevious	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ecology	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Noble Guest	16/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Jakarta	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Help From Above	40/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Veydari

25.7

OR: 7 Form: 13 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

We Dare To Dream

23.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 16 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Al Misbar

OR: 8.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Cairdeas

20.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Stapleford Park

17.5

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Megalithic

13.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Rokuni

13.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Aegean Sea

12.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Ecology

11.2

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Jakarta

10.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Maldevious

9.6

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Noble Guest

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Arbitration

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Help From Above

5.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Misbar	83	85	80
Cairdeas	83	90	68
We Dare To Dream	81	88	65
Arbitration	80	88	88
Megalithic	79	89	77
Veydari	78	90	83
Ecology	78	88	81
Aegean Sea	77	90	71
Rokuni	76	88	83
Noble Guest	76	84	75
Jakarta	76	90	77
Stapleford Park	74	91	82
Help From Above	71	88	58
Maldevious	70	84	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Megalithic	10d ago	Quick return
Aegean Sea	11d ago	Quick return
Veydari	16d ago	Fit
Maldevious	26d ago	Fit
Stapleford Park	32d ago	Fit
Rokuni	33d ago	Fit
Al Misbar	36d ago	Fit
Noble Guest	36d ago	Fit
Arbitration	39d ago	Fit
Cairdeas	41d ago	Fit
We Dare To Dream	48d ago	Fresh
Jakarta	50d ago	Fresh
Help From Above	51d ago	Fresh
Ecology	68d ago	Fresh