Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:00

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 28.91s (slow by 5.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Substitute (IRE) Archie Young · Charlie Johnston	14/1	Won
2nd	Hot To Dot (GB) Jack Mitchell · Gemma Tutty	18/1	0.3
3rd	Sherlock (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	9/4F	3
4th	Mayor Of Maghera (GB) David Nolan · Phillip Makin	14/1	.75
5th	Jachin (IRE) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	8/1	0.2
6th	Al Waseela (IRE) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	13/2	1.75
7th	Night Emperor (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Hugo Palmer	9/2	1.25
8th	Sure And Stedfast (IRE) Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	16/1	1
9th	Mini Mac (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	11/2	3
10th	Elementary Charge (IRE) Cam Hardie · Craig Lidster	33/1	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Sherlock Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	122	—	508	62	81	-	40d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-18	12.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Regressive in three starts on turf; bred to handle AW, but a leap of faith is required
7 (3)	Al Waseela Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	124	b	064221	64	81	71	14d	—	—	+10	23.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Improving steadily, winning well at Yarmouth a fortnight ago; 6lb higher but respected
1 (2)	Mini Mac Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	137	p	31	77	79	-	12d	—	—	+10	22.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won at Brighton last time; remains open to improvement on nursery/AW debut; cheekpieces on
9 (7)	Night Emperor Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Hugo Palmer	J:Andrew Mullen T:Hugo Palmer	122	b	9506	62	82	44	22d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Some promise on his second start, but not built on it twice since; look elsewhere
3 (1)	Jachin Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	135	—	9731	75	83	-	10d	—	—	+11	21	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Improving and got off the mark at Catterick ten days ago; a possible on nursery debut
6 (8)	Sure And Stedfast Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	129	—	474	69	80	-	62d	—	—	-1	6.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Showed promise in two of his three starts in turf maidens; sire has a good record here
2 (4)	Substitute Chestnut J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	13060	76	79	-	47d	—	—	+4	11.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Faced stiff tasks after her winning debut; worth a second look on AW debut down in class
5 (10)	Hot To Dot Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Gemma Tutty	J:Jack Mitchell T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	16	70	79	-	27d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won on debut in April, but held on last month's return; needs to bounce back
4 (9)	Mayor Of Maghera Bay J:David Nolan T:Phillip Makin	J:David Nolan T:Phillip Makin	132	—	742136	72	81	45	24d	—	—	+10	15.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four starts on turf have been much better than his two on Tapeta; has a bit to prove
10 (5)	Elementary Charge Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	114	—	5558	54	79	55	15d	—	—	-1	1.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Some ability in three starts on turf, but didn't build on it on nursery/AW debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Sherlock	7/4	2/1	7/4
Al Waseela	6/1	11/2	6/1
Mini Mac	7/1	13/2	13/2
Night Emperor	8/1	15/2	8/1
Jachin	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sure And Stedfast	10/1	10/1	10/1
Substitute	11/1	10/1	11/1
Hot To Dot	16/1	16/1	16/1
Mayor Of Maghera	16/1	12/1	16/1
Elementary Charge	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Waseela

23.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 16 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Mini Mac

22.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Jachin

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mayor Of Maghera

15.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Hot To Dot

13.4

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Sherlock

12.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

2/1

Substitute

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Sure And Stedfast

6.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Night Emperor

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Elementary Charge

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mini Mac	77	79	—
Substitute	76	79	—
Jachin	75	83	—
Mayor Of Maghera	72	81	45
Hot To Dot	70	79	—
Sure And Stedfast	69	80	—
Al Waseela	64	81	71
Sherlock	62	81	—
Night Emperor	62	82	44
Elementary Charge	54	79	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jachin	10d ago	Quick return
Mini Mac	12d ago	Quick return
Al Waseela	14d ago	Fit
Elementary Charge	15d ago	Fit
Night Emperor	22d ago	Fit
Mayor Of Maghera	24d ago	Fit
Hot To Dot	27d ago	Fit
Sherlock	40d ago	Fit
Substitute	47d ago	Fresh
Sure And Stedfast	62d ago	Fresh