Fat Tseung Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Happy Valley

13:45

Date 2024-10-30

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £65,915

Winning Time 1m 10.45s (slow by 0.75s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Triumphant More (AUS) Zac Purton · F C Lor	31/10	Won
2nd	Glory Cloud (NZ) Hugh Bowman · C Fownes	5/2F	0.1
3rd	Ragnarr (AUS) Karis Teetan · D J Hall	16/1	1.25
4th	Hayday (AUS) Matthew Poon · P F Yiu	41/10	0.05
5th	Happy Soul (AUS) Jerry Chau · C S Shum	11/1	.75
6th	Golden Rise (AUS) Brenton Avdulla · J Size	13/1	0.05
7th	Talents Supremo (GB) Matthew Chadwick · W K Mo	15/1	.5
8th	Lucky Man (NZ) Lyle Hewitson · David A Hayes	36/1	0.3
9th	Happy Day (NZ) Alexis Badel · Jamie Richards	19/1	0.3
10th	Loving Vibes (AUS) C Y Ho · K W Lui	56/1	0.3
11th	Party Warrior (NZ) K De Melo · W Y So	41/1	2.75
12th	Glory B (AUS) Harry Bentley · Douglas Whyte	41/5	17

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Colonel Bay J:TBC T:Mark Newnham	J: T:Mark Newnham	129	b	420611	53	71	-	14d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Revitalised 8yo who has made all over C&D twice this season; on tough mark now, though
R14 (14)	Prime Mortar Chestnut J:TBC T:A S Cruz	J: T:A S Cruz	135	tv	719220	59	73	-	35d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Did well for new stable towards end of last season but ran poorly last month
1 (1)	Happy Day Chestnut J:Alexis Badel T:Jamie Richards	J:Alexis Badel T:Jamie Richards	134	tb	6-7096	58	75	-	42d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Made low-key seasonal debut when back in this grade last month; needs to up his game
2 (10)	Hayday Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:P F Yiu	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:P F Yiu	132	h	331414	56	72	-	21d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	12.1	—	—
Ran well when fourth from stall 12 over C&D this month but is drawn wide again today
3 (2)	Happy Soul Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	131	tp	177628	55	73	-	21d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Good second here last month but not in same form since and remains on career-high mark
4 (9)	Golden Rise Brown J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	129	—	895429	53	77	-	21d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Ended last season with two good efforts over C&D and probably needed his recent return run
5 (5)	Triumphant More Chestnut J:Zac Purton T:F C Lor	J:Zac Purton T:F C Lor	128	b	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Came second in a recent dirt trial and Zac Purton is booked for this official debut
6 (3)	Glory Cloud Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	127	t	032738	51	74	-	14d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Close third here on seasonal debut; had tough draw last time; player from stall 3 today
7 (12)	Loving Vibes Chestnut J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	126	hp	80	50	68	-	17d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Ran okay on debut in July but soundly beaten after racing too freely this month
8 (6)	Lucky Man Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:David A Hayes	J:Lyle Hewitson T:David A Hayes	124	hp	08	48	63	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Made some late headway over C&D this month but probably one for further down the line
9 (7)	Glory B Bay J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	122	hp	-02025	46	76	-	21d	—	—	—	5	—	—
0-7 but recent C&D efforts suggest his turn is near
10 (4)	Ragnarr Chestnut J:Karis Teetan T:D J Hall	J:Karis Teetan T:D J Hall	121	hb	868470	45	81	-	38d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Both runs this season have been underwhelming and he's now 0-11 in Hong Kong
11 (11)	Talents Supremo Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:W K Mo	J:Matthew Chadwick T:W K Mo	121	tv	343524	45	80	-	21d	—	—	—	4.4	—	—
Consistent 5yo; current mark is workable but wide draw an obvious negative today
12 (8)	Party Warrior Bay J:K De Melo T:W Y So	J:K De Melo T:W Y So	119	t	7-7576	43	83	-	118d	—	—	—	0	—	—
No win since February 2022 but makes seasonal/stable debut from dangerous mark

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Colonel

18.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 18 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Hayday

12.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Prime Mortar

10.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Glory B

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Happy Soul

4.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Glory Cloud

4.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.2 Odds: 0

—

Talents Supremo

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0

—

Golden Rise

4.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Happy Day

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Triumphant More

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Loving Vibes

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Man

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ragnarr

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Party Warrior

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prime Mortar	59	73	—
Happy Day	58	75	—
Hayday	56	72	—
Happy Soul	55	73	—
Colonel	53	71	—
Golden Rise	53	77	—
Triumphant More	52	—	—
Glory Cloud	51	74	—
Loving Vibes	50	68	—
Lucky Man	48	63	—
Glory B	46	76	—
Ragnarr	45	81	—
Talents Supremo	45	80	—
Party Warrior	43	83	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Colonel	14d ago	Fit
Glory Cloud	14d ago	Fit
Lucky Man	14d ago	Fit
Loving Vibes	17d ago	Fit
Hayday	21d ago	Fit
Happy Soul	21d ago	Fit
Golden Rise	21d ago	Fit
Glory B	21d ago	Fit
Talents Supremo	21d ago	Fit
Prime Mortar	35d ago	Fit
Ragnarr	38d ago	Fit
Happy Day	42d ago	Fit
Party Warrior	118d ago	Long break
Triumphant More	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Hayday	Front Runner
Loving Vibes	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.