DragonBet - Real Bookmakers Nursery Handicap

Bath

14:58

Date 2024-10-31

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 47.54s (slow by 10.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Premier (FR) Finley Marsh · Warren Greatrex	12/1	Won
2nd	Bownder (IRE) Joe Leavy · Jonathan Portman	4/1	0.3
3rd	Glenridding (GB) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	11/4	0.1
4th	Mister Knockout (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	14/1	.5
5th	Tap Dancer (GB) Trevor Whelan · Marcus Tregoning	6/4F	0.2
6th	Thiscouldbefun (IRE) Jack Doughty · J S Moore	15/2	2.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Tap Dancer Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	135	—	50331	70	78	66	21d	—	—	-6	30.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Easily won 5-runner novice here (1m2f, heavy) latest; firmly in thoughts on nursery debut
3 (3)	Glenridding Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	76513	66	75	55	26d	—	—	-3	21.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Has done well since moving into nurseries and pedigree provides hope regarding slow ground
4 (7)	Bownder Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jonathan Portman	131	—	031221	66	76	63	32d	—	—	+13	28	1.00/1	4/1 20%
In good form in 1m nurseries in recent month; player if the slow ground isn't an issue
6 (2)	Thiscouldbefun Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:J S Moore	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:J S Moore	130	—	744363	65	77	61	6d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed in two 7f nurseries and the return to 1m could be a positive move
7 (6)	Mister Knockout Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	126	—	0943	61	76	44	45d	—	—	+1	7.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Kept on galloping for third on nursery debut (7f, AW); could be in the mix now at 1m
2 (5)	Premier Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Warren Greatrex	J:Finley Marsh T:Warren Greatrex	135	h	959	70	75	64	20d	—	—	+1	6.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to threaten but he's on a fair opening mark and is not discounted
NR (4)	Oasis Sunrise Bay J:TBC T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J: T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	427754	66	75	69	19d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Went very close in June seller but mixed form since and now 0-6; others have less to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tap Dancer	11/8	11/8	6/4
Glenridding	5/2	5/2	9/4
Bownder	4/1	4/1	4/1
Thiscouldbefun	10/1	9/1	10/1
Mister Knockout	12/1	12/1	12/1
Premier	16/1	16/1	16/1
Oasis Sunrise	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tap Dancer

30.4

OR: 5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Bownder

OR: 4 Form: 19.6 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Glenridding

21.3

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Thiscouldbefun

10.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mister Knockout

7.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Premier

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Oasis Sunrise

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tap Dancer	70	78	66
Premier	70	75	64
Glenridding	66	75	55
Bownder	66	76	63
Oasis Sunrise	66	75	69
Thiscouldbefun	65	77	61
Mister Knockout	61	76	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thiscouldbefun	6d ago	Quick return
Oasis Sunrise	19d ago	Fit
Premier	20d ago	Fit
Tap Dancer	21d ago	Fit
Glenridding	26d ago	Fit
Bownder	32d ago	Fit
Mister Knockout	45d ago	Fit