Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

Cork

15:15

Date 2024-11-03

Distance 3m4f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14	Hand Over Fist Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	150	p	-781F1	115	131	88	21d	—	—	+12	38.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Showed good reserves of stamina, having looked likely to drop away, to win over 3m here
10	Outside The Door Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	158	p	U-0311	123	131	114	27d	—	—	+6	23.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has gone close over this trip and won over 3m1f at Wexford on latest chase start
5	Positive Thinker Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	161	—	2324-3	126	134	113	34d	—	—	+12	26	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two wins and three seconds from just six chase starts and marathon trip could well suit
3	Jumping Jet Brown J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	163	—	251-66	128	135	68	7d	—	—	+10	23.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won over this trip at Downpatrick in April and, after 168 days off, shaped well at Galway
7	Sphagnum Bay J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:J P Broderick	J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:J P Broderick	160	tp	521828	125	133	102	34d	—	—	+21	28.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Likes nice ground and won over 3m1f at Wexford in July; good second over same trip since
9	Macgiloney Bay J:Daniel King T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Daniel King T:Denis Gerard Hogan	158	—	692324	123	134	73	29d	—	—	+20	26.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Still performing to a good level and will enjoy the good ground; should stay this far
13	King Ferdinand Bay J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	151	t	0619U6	116	133	73	21d	—	—	+14	20.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Local contender never really at the races behind Hand Over Fist over 3m here last month
2	So Des Flos Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	165	p	74412-	130	132	93	194d	—	—	+28	33.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Fourth over this trip at Leopardstown although held by Outside The Door on that form
6	Big Debates Chestnut J:Anna McGuinness(7) T:Robert Tyner	J:Anna McGuinness(7) T:Robert Tyner	160	—	5-0080	125	136	-	14d	—	—	+16	19.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three-time chase winner over much shorter trips; fit from hurdling but trip is a concern
8	Streets Of Doyen Bay J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	160	tv	-4566U	125	135	96	21d	—	—	+16	19.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well held since Roscommon fourth and didn't get far in the Velka Pardubicka last month
NR	Stuzzikini Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gordon Elliott	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gordon Elliott	166	b	254153	131	131	108	7d	—	—	—	28.3	—	—
Won over 3m2f at Sligo and good runs in handicaps since, including at Galway a week ago
NR	Sir Bob b/br J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	162	b	4621P-	127	135	124	183d	—	—	—	27.3	—	—
Had the benefit of two hurdle runs before winning this on soft last year; no prep here
NR	Caesar Rock Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	157	p	424532	122	133	118	14d	—	—	—	26.1	—	—
A 17-race maiden over fences; fair second when tried in blinkers at Limerick; trip a worry
NR	Sainte Dona Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Thomas Cooper	J:Donagh Meyler T:Thomas Cooper	155	—	2621-3	120	138	121	39d	—	—	—	20.5	—	—
Better for Listowel run; interesting on h'cap debut going further than 3m for first time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hand Over Fist	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4
Outside The Door	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Positive Thinker	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Jumping Jet	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1
Sphagnum	12/1	9/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Macgiloney	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
King Ferdinand	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
So Des Flos	20/1	14/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Big Debates	22/1	28/1	22/1	28/1	22/1
Streets Of Doyen	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Stuzzikini	-	-	-	-	-
Sir Bob	-	-	-	-	-
Caesar Rock	-	-	-	-	-
Sainte Dona	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hand Over Fist

38.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 14 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

So Des Flos

33.4

OR: 20 Form: 12 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

Sphagnum

28.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Stuzzikini

28.3

OR: 20.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Sir Bob

27.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Macgiloney

26.7

OR: 18.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Caesar Rock

26.1

OR: 18 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0

—

Positive Thinker

OR: 19 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Jumping Jet

23.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Outside The Door

23.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Sainte Dona

20.5

OR: 17.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

King Ferdinand

20.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Big Debates

19.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Streets Of Doyen

19.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stuzzikini	131	131	108
So Des Flos	130	132	93
Jumping Jet	128	135	68
Sir Bob	127	135	124
Positive Thinker	126	134	113
Sphagnum	125	133	102
Big Debates	125	136	—
Streets Of Doyen	125	135	96
Outside The Door	123	131	114
Macgiloney	123	134	73
Caesar Rock	122	133	118
Sainte Dona	120	138	121
King Ferdinand	116	133	73
Hand Over Fist	115	131	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jumping Jet	7d ago	Quick return
Stuzzikini	7d ago	Quick return
Big Debates	14d ago	Fit
Caesar Rock	14d ago	Fit
Hand Over Fist	21d ago	Fit
King Ferdinand	21d ago	Fit
Streets Of Doyen	21d ago	Fit
Outside The Door	27d ago	Fit
Macgiloney	29d ago	Fit
Positive Thinker	34d ago	Fit
Sphagnum	34d ago	Fit
Sainte Dona	39d ago	Fit
Sir Bob	183d ago	Long break
So Des Flos	194d ago	Long break