Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Newbury

12:30

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 2m69y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £9,242

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Schmilsson Bay J:Beau Morgan(3) T:Olly Murphy	J:Beau Morgan(3) T:Olly Murphy	157	h	2123-1	117	134	121	22d	—	—	+8	34.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Registered a solid win at Wetherby on reappearance; due to go up 1lb in future
7	King William Rufus Bay J:Freddie Gordon T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon T:Chris Gordon	152	—	5612-2	112	129	112	34d	—	—	+3	28.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has form figures of 122 since switched to front-running tactics; solid chance
1	Aurigny Mill Bay J:Joe Anderson T:Robert Walford	J:Joe Anderson T:Robert Walford	168	—	1104-P	128	135	114	180d	—	—	+8	24.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Returns to a suitable level on debut for new yard but is lumbered with top weight
5	Junkanoo Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	157	v	1P8-53	117	129	93	15d	—	—	+6	21.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Gradually finding his feet in handicap hurdles; possibilities off current mark
2	Hooper Bay J:Lily Jones(10) T:Nicky Henderson	J:Lily Jones(10) T:Nicky Henderson	164	—	334/3-	124	137	-	529d	—	—	+17	23.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hasn't scored for over three years and badly lacks recent match practice
8	Almuhit Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	145	—	07-576	105	134	91	15d	—	—	+11	14.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Holds weak claims on his form in maidens for new stable; others preferred
6	Mucuna Bay J:Bradley Harris T:Anthony Charlton	J:Bradley Harris T:Anthony Charlton	154	—	11/53-	114	128	115	272d	—	—	+14	16.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Record of 4-5 on good going over hurdles; interesting granted that ground
NR	Home Free Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	159	t	15-211	119	120	-	10d	—	—	—	17.3	—	—
Two chase wins since having wind surgery; due to go up in the weights in future

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Schmilsson	85/40	9/4	85/40	2/1	85/40
King William Rufus	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Aurigny Mill	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Junkanoo	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Hooper	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	11/1
Almuhit	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Mucuna	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Home Free	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Schmilsson

34.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

King William Rufus

28.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 5 Odds: 7.6

9/4

3rd

Aurigny Mill

24.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Hooper

23.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Junkanoo

21.2

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Home Free

17.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mucuna

16.9

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Almuhit

14.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aurigny Mill	128	135	114
Hooper	124	137	—
Home Free	119	120	—
Schmilsson	117	134	121
Junkanoo	117	129	93
Mucuna	114	128	115
King William Rufus	112	129	112
Almuhit	105	134	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Home Free	10d ago	Quick return
Junkanoo	15d ago	Fit
Almuhit	15d ago	Fit
Schmilsson	22d ago	Fit
King William Rufus	34d ago	Fit
Aurigny Mill	180d ago	Long break
Mucuna	272d ago	Long break
Hooper	529d ago	Long break