Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 12.44s (slow by 2.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	HK Fourteen (IRE) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	5/2F	Won
2nd	Captain Vallo (IRE) Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	15/2	.5
3rd	Fircombe Hall (GB) Billy Loughnane · Philip Kirby	3/1	2.75
4th	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	5/1	.5
5th	Urban Dandy (IRE) David Nolan · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	11/2	0.1
6th	Evoluir (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	16/1	.75
7th	Robespierre (FR) Lewis Edmunds · Derek Shaw	125/1	3
8th	Noble Captain (GB) Sam James · Katie Scott	17/2	0.05
9th	Lady Ursula (IRE) Cam Hardie · Patrick Morris	150/1	0.2

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	HK Fourteen Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	135	—	90001	54	71	-	7d	—	—	-7	19	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Landed a gamble in fine style last week despite hanging left; 6lb well in under a penalty
1 (3)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	135	p	468252	54	67	60	9d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Multiple C&D winner who has run well here in two of his last three starts; solid claims
8 (8)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	127	p	430092	46	68	49	9d	—	—	-4	9.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner who ran well for second here last week; cheekpieces return; contender
4 (9)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	133	v	696832	52	70	62	7d	—	—	-2	11.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Poor strike-rate but comes here on the back of two good 7f runs; change of headgear today
3 (4)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	134	p	956003	53	69	44	9d	—	—	-4	6.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Split two of today's rivals when 3rd over C&D last week; other stronger for win purposes
6 (6)	Noble Captain Chestnut J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	131	t	644944	50	69	51	9d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two C&D wins this year but finished behind Bernie The Bear here last week
7 (1)	Evoluir Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	130	—	277421	49	70	59	17d	—	—	+10	14.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Snug 6f win at Southwell last month; sold for £4,000 the following day; still on fair mark
5 (7)	Lady Ursula Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Patrick Morris	J:Cam Hardie T:Patrick Morris	131	h	/63-07	50	66	42	45d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Huge prices and modest form in two runs for this yard after long layoff; headgear back now
9 (5)	Robespierre Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	126	—	0400	45	52	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form in four starts, including handicap debut last month; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
HK Fourteen	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Fircombe Hall	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1
Bernie The Bear	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Urban Dandy	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	11/2
Captain Vallo	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Noble Captain	11/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Evoluir	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Lady Ursula	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Robespierre	150/1	100/1	100/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

HK Fourteen

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Evoluir

14.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Fircombe Hall

14.2

OR: 1 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Urban Dandy

11.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Bernie The Bear

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Captain Vallo

6.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Noble Captain

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Lady Ursula

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Robespierre

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
HK Fourteen	54	71	—
Fircombe Hall	54	67	60
Captain Vallo	53	69	44
Urban Dandy	52	70	62
Noble Captain	50	69	51
Lady Ursula	50	66	42
Evoluir	49	70	59
Bernie The Bear	46	68	49
Robespierre	45	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
HK Fourteen	7d ago	Quick return
Urban Dandy	7d ago	Quick return
Fircombe Hall	9d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	9d ago	Quick return
Captain Vallo	9d ago	Quick return
Noble Captain	9d ago	Quick return
Robespierre	16d ago	Fit
Evoluir	17d ago	Fit
Lady Ursula	45d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.