Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:45

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 39.82s (slow by 2.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Jersey Rocs (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Charles Hills	33/1	Won
2nd	Love Your Work (IRE) Hayley Turner · Darryll Holland	5/1	0.05
3rd	Retraction (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	16/1	2.5
4th	Jalaybee (GB) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	11/4J	0.05
5th	Imola (IRE) David Egan · Dominic Ffrench Davis	14/1	2.5
6th	King Of York (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	9/2	3.25
7th	First Dynasty (USA) Rossa Ryan · Sam England	11/4J	1.25
8th	Gunsight (IRE) Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	12/1	.75
9th	Mickey Mongoose (GB) Warren Fentiman · Olly Williams	25/1	0.05
10th	Masham Moor (GB) Paula Muir · Simon West	33/1	1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	King Of York Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	134	p	087452	59	77	62	5d	—	—	-7	13	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Just 2-37, but has plenty of form at this track and was second here last Saturday
6 (8)	Jalaybee Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	134	—	572313	61	72	58	7d	—	—	+2	21.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
First and third in last two starts over C&D; may get a better pace to aim at this time
3 (1)	First Dynasty Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Sam England	J:Rossa Ryan T:Sam England	135	b	504371	60	75	60	30d	—	—	+3	18.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made all over C&D last month and respected off 3lb higher, especially if leading again
1 (7)	Love Your Work Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Darryll Holland	J:Hayley Turner T:Darryll Holland	137	—	449404	62	72	39	21d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Seven course wins including three on Tapeta; 1lb below last winning mark; shortlisted
2 (2)	Gunsight Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	135	b	-05047	60	74	-	14d	—	—	-3	4.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-13 and needs the new surface to bring about improvement
9 (5)	Imola Bay J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	p	437294	57	75	62	14d	—	—	-1	7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-10; off a fair mark but well held in both starts since joining this yard; cheekpieces on
4 (10)	Retraction Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	660345	59	73	50	16d	—	—	0	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-10 despite a falling mark and others are more compelling
8 (6)	Mickey Mongoose Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Olly Williams	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Olly Williams	130	—	460006	55	71	43	10d	—	—	-2	2.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
1lb lower than for C&D win in March and not beaten far here ten days ago; still needs more
10 (3)	Masham Moor Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Simon West	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Simon West	124	—	531255	49	74	68	133d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+3	7.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Off the same mark as for the latest of two wins over C&D but he has no great record fresh
7 (4)	Jersey Rocs Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Charles Hills	J:Cieren Fallon T:Charles Hills	133	b	9-8090	60	68	33	42d	—	—	0	3.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Promising debut at Ripon in August last year but nowhere near that form since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
King Of York	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Jalaybee	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
First Dynasty	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Love Your Work	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1
Gunsight	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Imola	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	9/1
Retraction	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Mickey Mongoose	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Masham Moor	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Jersey Rocs	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jalaybee

21.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 13 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

First Dynasty

18.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

King Of York

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Love Your Work

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Masham Moor

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Imola

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Retraction

5.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Gunsight

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Jersey Rocs

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Mickey Mongoose

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Your Work	62	72	39
Jalaybee	61	72	58
First Dynasty	60	75	60
Gunsight	60	74	—
Jersey Rocs	60	68	33
King Of York	59	77	62
Retraction	59	73	50
Imola	57	75	62
Mickey Mongoose	55	71	43
Masham Moor	49	74	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Of York	5d ago	Quick return
Jalaybee	7d ago	Quick return
Mickey Mongoose	10d ago	Quick return
Gunsight	14d ago	Fit
Imola	14d ago	Fit
Retraction	16d ago	Fit
Love Your Work	21d ago	Fit
First Dynasty	30d ago	Fit
Jersey Rocs	42d ago	Fit
Masham Moor	133d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.