Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Expensive Queen Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	134	—	52-062	81	92	-	50d	—	—	-7	13.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Bounced back for her new trainer latest; sister to a Polytrack winner; shortlisted
2 (2)	Pjanoo Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	141	b	100734	86	93	80	70d	—	—	-3	16.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Goes well fresh; latest run from a wide stall was better than it looked; one to consider
5 (8)	Hat Toss Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:James Owen	J:Adam Farragher T:James Owen	136	—	367123	81	93	54	29d	—	—	+8	23.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Often pulls hard but has been consistent all year; enters calculations
6 (3)	Samra Star Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	136	—	417	83	88	63	65d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	18.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Pulled hard/well beaten last time; comes down in trip on her handicap debut; market useful
1 (1)	Koy Koy Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	142	t	660950	87	95	72	21d	—	—	+1	12.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Tapeta winner last autumn who's regressed; easier race than he's used to, on Polytrack bow
4 (9)	Helm Rock Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	137	tp	588780	82	97	79	36d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	10.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Tumbled down the weights this year and cheekpieces haven't made much difference latterly
9 (4)	Lake Teo Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	122	—	643258	69	89	-	42d	—	—	+3	10.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exposed maiden who's done most racing on turf over further; will need a career-best effort
3 (7)	Cephalus Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	140	v	111460	85	91	65	35d	—	—	+10	15.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
8-19 on the AW and two poor turf efforts latterly are probably best ignored
8 (6)	Forca Timao Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	132	—	036687	77	91	69	55d	—	—	+6	7.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Soft ground maybe wasn't ideal for his new yard but he's regressed over the past 12 months

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Expensive Queen	3/1	10/3	16/5	3/1	3/1
Pjanoo	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1	10/3
Hat Toss	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Samra Star	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Koy Koy	8/1	15/2	15/2	13/2	10/1
Helm Rock	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	9/1
Lake Teo	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cephalus	20/1	20/1	18/1	22/1	12/1
Forca Timao	80/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hat Toss

23.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Samra Star

18.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Pjanoo

16.8

OR: 9 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Cephalus

15.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Expensive Queen

13.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Koy Koy

12.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

10/1

Helm Rock

10.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Lake Teo

10.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Forca Timao

7.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Koy Koy	87	95	72
Pjanoo	86	93	80
Cephalus	85	91	65
Samra Star	83	88	63
Helm Rock	82	97	79
Expensive Queen	81	92	—
Hat Toss	81	93	54
Forca Timao	77	91	69
Lake Teo	69	89	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Koy Koy	21d ago	Fit
Hat Toss	29d ago	Fit
Cephalus	35d ago	Fit
Helm Rock	36d ago	Fit
Lake Teo	42d ago	Fit
Expensive Queen	50d ago	Fresh
Forca Timao	55d ago	Fresh
Samra Star	65d ago	Fresh
Pjanoo	70d ago	Fresh