Betfair Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:55

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Bouvier Bay J:Sean Levey T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Sean Levey T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	126	—	32732	77	93	56	15d	—	—	-6	26	0.44/1	7/4 36%
0-5 but has run pretty well on AW the last twice and is entitled to respect
6 (7)	Make Love Bay J:George Wood T:James Horton	J:George Wood T:James Horton	126	p	72445	71	84	54	49d	—	—	-12	15.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Five-race maiden who hasn't progressed but has some of the best form in the field
12 (4)	Secret Combination Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
This might not take much winning; stable runs two newcomers; betting could be informative
2 (11)	Eva Dickson Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	4	-	74	36	28d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fair 4th on debut at Southwell 3 weeks ago; open to improvement; could have part to play
7 (5)	The Third Star Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Half-sister to two winners; trainer had 2yo win here last week; one to watch in betting
5 (6)	Jester Queen Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
$45,000 yearling; one of two newcomers for connections; market moves will be interesting
13 (13)	Welsh Fizz Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	124	—	—	-	47	-	26d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Always behind at 22-1 over C&D on last month's debut, but not a forlorn hope today
4 (9)	Desert Eye Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	126	t	74	-	60	44	58d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
May benefit from the step up in trip but needs to take a considerable step forward
9 (2)	Late Star Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip McBride	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip McBride	124	—	9	-	-	-	89d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Trainer among winners; tailed off at 80-1 at Newmarket in August on her sole outing
1 (1)	A La Louche Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	906	-	71	38	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Makes fourth start; it's likely her future lies over longer trips in handicaps next year
11 (12)	Miss Sovereign Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Matt Crawley	J:Tyler Heard T:Matt Crawley	124	—	09	-	51	36	7d	—	—	0	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
150-1 on both starts (over 6f here) and well beaten each time
NR (10)	Appleblossomwhite Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Amy Murphy	J:Finley Marsh T:Amy Murphy	124	—	05	-	71	37	26d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Posted a better run on her second start (C&D) but others have stronger form
NR (8)	Madrigal Moment Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	124	—	80	-	-	-	72d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Half-sister to six winners but she's finished down the field on both starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bouvier	13/8	7/4	13/8	6/4	13/8
Make Love	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	85/40
Secret Combination	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Eva Dickson	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
The Third Star	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Jester Queen	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Welsh Fizz	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Desert Eye	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Late Star	125/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
A La Louche	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Miss Sovereign	300/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1
Appleblossomwhite	-	-	-	-	-
Madrigal Moment	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bouvier

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.2 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Make Love

15.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Secret Combination

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Eva Dickson

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

The Third Star

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Jester Queen

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Welsh Fizz

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Desert Eye

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Late Star

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

A La Louche

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Miss Sovereign

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Appleblossomwhite

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Madrigal Moment

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bouvier	77	93	56
Make Love	71	84	54
Secret Combination	—	—	—
Eva Dickson	—	74	36
The Third Star	—	—	—
Jester Queen	—	—	—
Welsh Fizz	—	47	—
Desert Eye	—	60	44
Late Star	—	—	—
A La Louche	—	71	38
Miss Sovereign	—	51	36
Appleblossomwhite	—	71	37
Madrigal Moment	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Sovereign	7d ago	Quick return
A La Louche	10d ago	Quick return
Bouvier	15d ago	Fit
Welsh Fizz	26d ago	Fit
Appleblossomwhite	26d ago	Fit
Eva Dickson	28d ago	Fit
Make Love	49d ago	Fresh
Desert Eye	58d ago	Fresh
Madrigal Moment	72d ago	Fresh
Late Star	89d ago	Fresh
Secret Combination	—	—
The Third Star	—	—
Jester Queen	—	—