'Confined' Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Band D. No More Than Three Runs) (GBB)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:00

Date 2024-11-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Magic Glow Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	128	—	27	-	82	48	40d	—	—	-13	10.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fair form over C&D on debut but below that level here last time; claims if back to best
10 (4)	Mrs Dowley Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	128	—	3	-	73	36	3d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Encouraging third over 6f here on debut this week and promises to be suited by this trip
12 (9)	Queen Sansa Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Dam a 1m winner, herself a half-sister to a 1m dirt winner in US; claims on debut
14 (15)	Sheephavenbaystory Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	128	h	553	63	72	55	40d	—	—	-7	11.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Best effort over C&D last time (form franked) but widest draw could prove troublesome
2 (12)	Antalya Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has several sprint winners in pedigree but opposable from wide draw on debut
6 (6)	Casual Encounter Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has stamina in pedigree but has to be considered in this ordinary event on debut
3 (14)	Ar Elody Bay J:George Wood T:James Horton	J:George Wood T:James Horton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-sister to a 6f-1m1f winner abroad but easy enough to take on from wide draw on debut
7 (13)	English Lady Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
10,000gns foal; dam an unraced half-sister to three winners but best watched on debut
5 (2)	Black Falcon Black J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Toomey	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Toomey	128	—	—	-	35	18	40d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten after a slow start on debut and needs a good deal better
11 (8)	Nick Of Time Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	128	—	—	-	-	-	65d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Big price and well beaten over 6f at Lingfield on debut in September; much more needed
1 (11)	Amelia Sedley Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
13,000gns yearling; closely related to 6f juvenile winner Hubert; best watched on debut
4 (10)	Bella Dama Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	—	-	37	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well beaten over 1m on debut; back in trip but good deal more needed if she's to figure
15 (5)	Spinning Dancer Chestnut J:Georgia Dobie T:J S Moore	J:Georgia Dobie T:J S Moore	128	—	88	-	40	-	89d	—	—	0	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Soundly beaten both starts and will have to improve a good deal if she's to figure
8 (1)	Late Star Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip McBride	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip McBride	128	—	90	-	20	-	7d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
No worthwhile form on either start and makes no appeal
NR (7)	Rovinia Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Karen Jewell	J:Raul Da Silva T:Karen Jewell	128	—	85	-	64	51	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Moderate form at best in two starts; will likely find at least one or two too good again

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Magic Glow	5/2	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
Mrs Dowley	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Queen Sansa	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4
Sheephavenbaystory	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Antalya	16/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Casual Encounter	14/1	12/1	14/1	16/1	11/1
Ar Elody	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
English Lady	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Black Falcon	66/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Nick Of Time	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Amelia Sedley	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Bella Dama	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Spinning Dancer	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Late Star	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Rovinia	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sheephavenbaystory

11.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Magic Glow

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Mrs Dowley

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Queen Sansa

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Antalya

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Casual Encounter

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ar Elody

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

English Lady

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Black Falcon

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Nick Of Time

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Amelia Sedley

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Bella Dama

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Spinning Dancer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Late Star

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Rovinia

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sheephavenbaystory	63	72	55
Magic Glow	—	82	48
Mrs Dowley	—	73	36
Queen Sansa	—	—	—
Antalya	—	—	—
Casual Encounter	—	—	—
Ar Elody	—	—	—
English Lady	—	—	—
Black Falcon	—	35	18
Nick Of Time	—	—	—
Amelia Sedley	—	—	—
Bella Dama	—	37	—
Spinning Dancer	—	40	—
Late Star	—	20	—
Rovinia	—	64	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mrs Dowley	3d ago	Quick return
Late Star	7d ago	Quick return
Rovinia	14d ago	Fit
Bella Dama	15d ago	Fit
Magic Glow	40d ago	Fit
Sheephavenbaystory	40d ago	Fit
Black Falcon	40d ago	Fit
Nick Of Time	65d ago	Fresh
Spinning Dancer	89d ago	Fresh
Queen Sansa	—	—
Antalya	—	—
Casual Encounter	—	—
Ar Elody	—	—
English Lady	—	—
Amelia Sedley	—	—