Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2024-11-14

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Mhajim Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	135	—	-96735	54	63	50	24d	—	—	-10	8.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-11 since joining this yard but not beaten far in similar races on AW last twice
7 (7)	River Alwen Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	131	b	869555	50	67	57	8d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has rarely threatened since returning to Britain but better than result over 1m last week
8 (2)	Trackman Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Simon Pearce	J:Tyler Heard T:Simon Pearce	129	b	283250	48	66	56	38d	—	—	-7	7.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Took record to 0-13 when well held in turf handicap latest; cheekpieces off. blinkers on
6 (11)	Two B Tanned Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	133	—	6930	55	65	-	17d	—	—	-7	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Faded on recent 1m2f turf handicap debut but it was her first run for six months
4 (12)	Sunset In Paris Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:J R Jenkins	J:Paddy Bradley T:J R Jenkins	134	—	444151	53	67	41	—	—	—	+8	18.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Good AW record, including C&D win in Aug; held in hurdle since but can do a lot better now
5 (1)	Global Resolve Bay J:George Wood T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:George Wood T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	133	v	548050	52	67	57	20d	—	—	-7	3.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Yet to be placed after six starts; a visor needs to have a positive effect
1 (8)	Cracking Filly Chestnut J:David Egan T:Dean Ivory	J:David Egan T:Dean Ivory	135	h	6-7867	54	64	43	28d	—	—	-6	3.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-8 and yet to make the frame, fading into seventh over C&D latest; others more obvious
9 (13)	Namrud Bay J:Luke Morris T:Marco Botti	J:Luke Morris T:Marco Botti	128	p	84-006	50	64	53	48d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Too soon to write off but today's first-time cheekpieces need to make a difference
11 (3)	Leon Trotsky Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	126	v	05986	48	57	33	42d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Behind Semser over C&D latest; early days but needs improvement
12 (4)	Miss Raindrop Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	126	p	-77536	45	61	57	24d	—	—	0	2.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed for first time when third on turf in September but only sixth on AW since
10 (5)	Aye Spyed Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Chris Dwyer	J:Laura Pearson T:Chris Dwyer	128	—	0-06	50	64	15	14d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well held in three runs at up to 1m but more chance now handicapping over further
13 (10)	Silver Shamrock Grey J:Chloe Lyons(7) T:Julia Feilden	J:Chloe Lyons(7) T:Julia Feilden	123	—	030850	45	63	59	34d	—	—	0	1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Third over 7f at Kempton in June but struggled since; blinkers off now
14 (6)	Dors Delight Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	123	—	08-880	45	46	16	24d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
No form of worth
NR (14)	Semser Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	135	p	456552	54	70	43	42d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Last two wins over C&D and went down by only a neck here latest; big player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mhajim	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
River Alwen	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Trackman	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Two B Tanned	9/2	5/1	5/1	6/1	5/1
Sunset In Paris	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Global Resolve	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Cracking Filly	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Namrud	12/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Leon Trotsky	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Miss Raindrop	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Aye Spyed	66/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	50/1
Silver Shamrock	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Dors Delight	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Semser	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sunset In Paris

18.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 15 Odds: 3.1

9/1

2nd

Mhajim

8.5

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

4/1

3rd

Trackman

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.4 Odds: 4

13/2

Two B Tanned

7.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Semser

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

River Alwen

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Cracking Filly

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Global Resolve

3.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Miss Raindrop

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Namrud

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Leon Trotsky

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Silver Shamrock

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Aye Spyed

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Dors Delight

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Two B Tanned	55	65	—
Mhajim	54	63	50
Cracking Filly	54	64	43
Semser	54	70	43
Sunset In Paris	53	67	41
Global Resolve	52	67	57
River Alwen	50	67	57
Namrud	50	64	53
Aye Spyed	50	64	15
Trackman	48	66	56
Leon Trotsky	48	57	33
Miss Raindrop	45	61	57
Silver Shamrock	45	63	59
Dors Delight	45	46	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
River Alwen	8d ago	Quick return
Aye Spyed	14d ago	Fit
Two B Tanned	17d ago	Fit
Global Resolve	20d ago	Fit
Mhajim	24d ago	Fit
Miss Raindrop	24d ago	Fit
Dors Delight	24d ago	Fit
Cracking Filly	28d ago	Fit
Silver Shamrock	34d ago	Fit
Trackman	38d ago	Fit
Leon Trotsky	42d ago	Fit
Semser	42d ago	Fit
Namrud	48d ago	Fresh
Sunset In Paris	—	—