Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:00

Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap

Date 2024-11-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (7)	Arctic Dawn Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	133	—	8-223	76	89	71	19d	—	—	-12	14.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Lightly raced sort who ran respectably on turf/handicap debut last time; claims
6 (5)	Ultramarine Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	134	—	226122	76	91	75	15d	—	—	+10	25.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
All wins have been on AW and ran well over 6f last time; return to 7f ideal and a player
7 (11)	Extrication Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	133	—	327002	75	91	80	28d	—	—	+3	15.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Yet to win and drawn wide but shaped better over C&D last time and gets Rossa Ryan up
3 (4)	Chola Empire Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	135	—	603524	77	90	67	24d	—	—	+1	15.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Reliable sort who is closely matched with Riot on latest Wolverhampton form; player
4 (3)	G'Daay Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Joseph Parr	J:Jack Mitchell T:Joseph Parr	135	hb	490185	77	89	65	35d	—	—	+4	14.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Triple C&D winner who returned to winning ways on turf in summer; below best last time
1 (9)	Riot Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	140	tv	150085	82	91	63	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	10.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Multiple turf/AW winner who ran respectably after a short break over this trip last time
5 (6)	Revolutionise Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	134	—	637104	76	90	70	35d	—	—	+8	13.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Knows how to win but below best on AW on last two starts; may find one or two too good
10 (8)	Airshow Chestnut J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	128	hp	312833	70	90	79	14d	—	—	+10	15	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Knows how to win and this largely consistent sort should give it best shot once again
11 (10)	Gaiety Musical Bay J:George Downing T:David Evans	J:George Downing T:David Evans	127	—	724363	70	86	76	30d	—	—	+9	11	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has shown ability on turf/AW but yet to win and stable companion Ultramarine appeals more
9 (2)	Tyke Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	—	991090	75	89	62	36d	—	—	+8	9.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
All wins have been over 6f and stamina still to prove over this trip
NR (1)	Beattie Is Back Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	135	—	5-6381	77	-	-	13d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Scraped home under Warren Fentiman at Newcastle last time; claims if as good on Polytrack

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Arctic Dawn	2/1	2/1	11/5	9/4	85/40
Ultramarine	5/1	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2
Extrication	6/1	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Chola Empire	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
G'Daay	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Riot	8/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Revolutionise	16/1	12/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Airshow	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Gaiety Musical	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Tyke	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Beattie Is Back	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ultramarine

25.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Extrication

15.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Chola Empire

15.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4

11/2

Airshow

OR: 5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

G'Daay

14.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Arctic Dawn

14.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Revolutionise

13.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Gaiety Musical

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Riot

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Tyke

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Beattie Is Back

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Riot	82	91	63
Chola Empire	77	90	67
G'Daay	77	89	65
Beattie Is Back	77	—	—
Arctic Dawn	76	89	71
Ultramarine	76	91	75
Revolutionise	76	90	70
Extrication	75	91	80
Tyke	75	89	62
Airshow	70	90	79
Gaiety Musical	70	86	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beattie Is Back	13d ago	Quick return
Airshow	14d ago	Fit
Ultramarine	15d ago	Fit
Arctic Dawn	19d ago	Fit
Chola Empire	24d ago	Fit
Riot	24d ago	Fit
Extrication	28d ago	Fit
Gaiety Musical	30d ago	Fit
G'Daay	35d ago	Fit
Revolutionise	35d ago	Fit
Tyke	36d ago	Fit