betting.betfair.com Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

betting.betfair.com Handicap

Date 2024-11-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Flying Fletcher Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	141	—	651-71	83	94	53	9d	—	—	-11	16.7	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Best effort to win at Newcastle last week and 2lb well in ahead of this Polytrack debut
10 (4)	Rebel Path Bay J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	127	v	360765	69	89	72	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-9	10.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not won for over three years but has run well on turf and AW this year; Sean Levey back on
2 (10)	Justcallmepete Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	135	b	905146	77	91	76	21d	—	—	+3	15.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Will have to be back in top form if he's to win this from double-figure draw
7 (8)	Fantasy Master Chestnut J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	130	p	514361	72	91	-	15d	—	—	+11	22.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on turf last time but AW form falls a long way short of pick of efforts on grass
4 (3)	Daytona Lady Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	p	172162	73	90	77	10d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Can miss the break but seems to like it here; good run last week and 2lb ahead of mark
6 (9)	Happy Tears Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	b	25-513	73	90	79	14d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner on second run for yard; drawn wider this time but may be capable of better
8 (1)	She's Centimental Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	128	h	746268	70	92	53	80d	—	—	+2	9.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Decent AW strike-rate; form patchy since April but on a handy mark for new yard
9 (2)	Roach Power Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	127	t	870758	69	88	-	64d	—	—	+2	6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Triple turf winner who is on a handy mark for AW/stable debut; market likely to guide
3 (7)	Above Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	132	t	493920	74	89	41	71d	—	—	+8	11.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Infrequent winner; has slipped in the weights but patchy form since last success
NR (11)	Muscika Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	131	v	792264	73	91	-	10d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Likes it here and mainly creditable efforts this year but widest draw is a bit of a worry
NR (5)	Macanudo Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	127	p	242278	69	89	63	75d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Excuses for last run at Chester; claims on previous form this season; tried in cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Flying Fletcher	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Rebel Path	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Justcallmepete	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Fantasy Master	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Daytona Lady	9/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	7/1
Happy Tears	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
She's Centimental	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Roach Power	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Above	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Muscika	-	-	-	-	-
Macanudo	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fantasy Master

22.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Daytona Lady

19.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Flying Fletcher

16.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Justcallmepete

15.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Above

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rebel Path

10.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Muscika

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

She's Centimental

9.6

OR: 5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Macanudo

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

Happy Tears

7.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Roach Power

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flying Fletcher	83	94	53
Justcallmepete	77	91	76
Above	74	89	41
Daytona Lady	73	90	77
Happy Tears	73	90	79
Muscika	73	91	—
Fantasy Master	72	91	—
She's Centimental	70	92	53
Rebel Path	69	89	72
Roach Power	69	88	—
Macanudo	69	89	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flying Fletcher	9d ago	Quick return
Daytona Lady	10d ago	Quick return
Muscika	10d ago	Quick return
Happy Tears	14d ago	Fit
Fantasy Master	15d ago	Fit
Justcallmepete	21d ago	Fit
Rebel Path	28d ago	Fit
Roach Power	64d ago	Fresh
Above	71d ago	Fresh
Macanudo	75d ago	Fresh
She's Centimental	80d ago	Fresh