Stay In Control With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Stay In Control With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-11-19

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	At No Time Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	125	p	22	-	85	45	12d	—	—	-30	28.5	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Runner-up in both starts, including here; new cheekpieces could spark improvement
4 (10)	Java Raja Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	t	6	-	55	-	22d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Modest form when 6th of 9 on debut last month (1m2f, soft); now tongue tied; yard run two
3 (6)	Capla Lazarus Grey J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	130	—	24	-	78	-	26d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two encouraging efforts over shorter; new trip/surface but has form to give him e-w claims
7 (2)	Nala The Lioness Bay J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promise in bumpers (inc AW) but pulled up in Grade 2 at Aintree latest; bred for the Flat
12 (1)	Universal Story Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
40,000gns purchase in May; dam a maiden from a fine family; betting to guide
5 (9)	Keeper Of Secrets Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	0W/0P 2 runs	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-brother to six winners but not bred to need this far and likey best watched
1 (3)	Brave Musketeer Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	134	—	53	-	35	-	21d	—	—	+2	3.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Poor form in two 1m runs last month; no appeal upped in distance
6 (7)	Star Of Jupiter Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ross Coakley T:Mark Loughnane	130	p	74	-	52	17	15d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Longer trip/addition of cheekpieces could spark extra but such progress is essential
2 (8)	Dark Agent Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	134	—	8	-	32	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
125-1, slowly away and always behind at Redcar last month (1m2f, soft); no appeal
10 (12)	Inlet Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Rae Guest	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Rae Guest	125	—	00	-	74	34	12d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well behind At No Time here 12 days ago; minor handicaps beckon after this
9 (11)	Haafapenny Bay J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	125	—	7	-	39	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
125-1 when offering little at Redcar three weeks ago (1m2f, soft)
NR (5)	Maenad Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	74	-	81	64	29d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Promising fourth here four weeks ago (1m4f); capable of better and holds sound claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
At No Time	4/9	4/7	4/7	4/7	4/7
Java Raja	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Capla Lazarus	11/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	7/2
Nala The Lioness	10/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	10/1
Universal Story	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Keeper Of Secrets	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Brave Musketeer	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Star Of Jupiter	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Dark Agent	66/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Inlet	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Haafapenny	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Maenad	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

At No Time

28.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Capla Lazarus

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

11/2

3rd

Java Raja

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Brave Musketeer

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Nala The Lioness

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Universal Story

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Keeper Of Secrets

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Star Of Jupiter

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Dark Agent

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Haafapenny

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Inlet

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Maenad

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
At No Time	—	85	45
Java Raja	—	55	—
Capla Lazarus	—	78	—
Nala The Lioness	—	—	—
Universal Story	—	—	—
Keeper Of Secrets	—	—	—
Brave Musketeer	—	35	—
Star Of Jupiter	—	52	17
Dark Agent	—	32	—
Inlet	—	74	34
Haafapenny	—	39	—
Maenad	—	81	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
At No Time	12d ago	Quick return
Inlet	12d ago	Quick return
Star Of Jupiter	15d ago	Fit
Brave Musketeer	21d ago	Fit
Java Raja	22d ago	Fit
Dark Agent	22d ago	Fit
Haafapenny	22d ago	Fit
Capla Lazarus	26d ago	Fit
Maenad	29d ago	Fit
Nala The Lioness	—	—
Universal Story	—	—
Keeper Of Secrets	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.