Take Time To Think With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Take Time To Think With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-19

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,608

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Ingra Tor Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	122	—	337312	85	114	96	45d	—	—	+14	26.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Good efforts on his last three starts; still has handicapping scope; likely to be involved
1 (9)	Sommelier Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Marco Botti	J:Rossa Ryan T:Marco Botti	135	—	1-2920	98	110	75	151d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two easy AW wins last November; strong form in 2 of 4 runs since; no headgear but claims
2 (3)	Aramis Grey Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Rae Guest	J:Hector Crouch T:Rae Guest	132	—	825434	95	111	23	59d	—	—	+3	18.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Only one win in the last 24 months but regularly runs well and likely to do so again here
5 (4)	Drama Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:James Ferguson	J:Kieran Shoemark T:James Ferguson	124	tp	912518	87	111	93	32d	—	—	+10	23.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Heavy ground no good to him last time; earlier AW best brings him right into the picture
11 (11)	Stanley Spencer Bay J:Joe Fanning T:James Tate	J:Joe Fanning T:James Tate	116	—	614311	79	113	98	20d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+19	31.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
3-6 in AW handicaps this year; still improving but this is a step up in class
7 (6)	Palmar Bay Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Ralph Beckett	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Ralph Beckett	122	—	961073	85	112	-	32d	—	—	+7	17.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Of interest on best turf form and he's bred for AW; rider's claim an added bonus
8 (10)	Rousing Encore Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	121	—	552133	84	111	82	10d	—	—	+13	22.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Comes here in top form; edging up the weights but unlikely to be too far away
10 (2)	Jenever Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	119	—	152402	82	112	94	12d	—	—	+9	16.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner but looks best at 5f; bumped into one at Newcastle last time; others stronger
4 (8)	Altmore Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	124	—	4-115	87	113	-	25d	—	—	+2	11.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Unexposed; came up short in a Class 2 on turf last time but still has time on his side
3 (7)	Juan Les Pins Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	p	976058	94	111	91	17d	—	1W/1P 2 runs	+8	12.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Dangerous mark now and had an excuse here last time; type to come good again soon
9 (5)	One Night Stand Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	120	—	098067	83	109	85	7d	—	—	+6	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
On a dangerous mark but he might be of greater interest when back at 5f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ingra Tor	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Sommelier	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Aramis Grey	5/1	4/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Drama	6/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	11/2
Stanley Spencer	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Palmar Bay	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Rousing Encore	7/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	9/1
Jenever	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Altmore	9/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	9/1
Juan Les Pins	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
One Night Stand	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stanley Spencer

31.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 20.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Ingra Tor

26.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Drama

23.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Rousing Encore

22.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Sommelier

22.3

OR: 12 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Aramis Grey

18.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Palmar Bay

17.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Jenever

16.6

OR: 8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Juan Les Pins

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Altmore

11.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

One Night Stand

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sommelier	98	110	75
Aramis Grey	95	111	23
Juan Les Pins	94	111	91
Drama	87	111	93
Altmore	87	113	—
Ingra Tor	85	114	96
Palmar Bay	85	112	—
Rousing Encore	84	111	82
One Night Stand	83	109	85
Jenever	82	112	94
Stanley Spencer	79	113	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One Night Stand	7d ago	Quick return
Rousing Encore	10d ago	Quick return
Jenever	12d ago	Quick return
Juan Les Pins	17d ago	Fit
Stanley Spencer	20d ago	Fit
Altmore	25d ago	Fit
Drama	32d ago	Fit
Palmar Bay	32d ago	Fit
Ingra Tor	45d ago	Fit
Aramis Grey	59d ago	Fresh
Sommelier	151d ago	Long break