Longines International Jockeys' Championship - 2nd Leg (Handicap) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Happy Valley

12:40

Date 2024-12-04

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £79,099

Winning Time 1m 40.86s (slow by 2.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Prince Alex (AUS) James McDonald · Douglas Whyte	91/10	Won
2nd	Forever Glorious (GB) Mickael Barzalona · K W Lui	20/1	0.2
3rd	Sure Joyful (NZ) Colin Keane · P F Yiu	14/1	0.3
4th	Jumbo Fortune (AUS) Hugh Bowman · David Eustace	27/10F	.5
5th	Golden Darci (NZ) Yuga Kawada · D J Hall	58/10	.5
6th	Chater Gold (AUS) Karis Teetan · David A Hayes	10/1	0.05
7th	Viva Chaleur (FR) Ryan Moore · P C Ng	11/1	0.05
8th	Sixth Generation (AUS) Hollie Doyle · Jamie Richards	30/1	.75
9th	Can't Go Wong (NZ) William Buick · F C Lor	73/10	.5
10th	Super Baby (AUS) Rachel King · Mark Newnham	54/10	1.75
11th	Lucky Banner (IRE) C Y Ho · C Fownes	21/1	3.5
12th	Charming Steed (FR) Zac Purton · C Fownes	12/1	10.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Wah May Wai Wai Chestnut J:TBC T:A S Cruz	J: T:A S Cruz	128	—	000094	53	80	-	28d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	0.8	—	—
Unplaced all six Hong Kong starts but belied 66-1 odds when fourth over C&D last month
R14 (14)	En Perfecto Bay J:TBC T:C S Shum	J: T:C S Shum	123	tp	0560	48	74	-	45d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well beaten when upped to 7f last month and has now been unplaced all four starts
1 (8)	Sure Joyful Bay J:Colin Keane T:P F Yiu	J:Colin Keane T:P F Yiu	135	t	263512	60	74	-	28d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	15.4	—	—
In career-best form over C&D in recent weeks and must be considered
2 (9)	Forever Glorious Bay J:Mickael Barzalona T:K W Lui	J:Mickael Barzalona T:K W Lui	134	tv	153318	59	72	-	38d	—	—	—	11.7	—	—
Held on gamely for 1m1f win in September but held off this career-high mark since
3 (6)	Viva Chaleur Bay J:Ryan Moore T:P C Ng	J:Ryan Moore T:P C Ng	131	het	096903	56	71	-	21d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
0-17 in Hong Kong but kept on for third over C&D last month, having been denied clear run
4 (3)	Jumbo Fortune Chestnut J:Hugh Bowman T:David Eustace	J:Hugh Bowman T:David Eustace	127	tv	224223	52	75	-	10d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
In the frame all five starts for new stable this season and a likely contender again
5 (7)	Can't Go Wong Chestnut J:William Buick T:F C Lor	J:William Buick T:F C Lor	126	tb	236325	51	74	-	14d	—	—	—	5.9	—	—
Usually finds the winning line coming too soon but scores good marks for his consistency
6 (5)	Prince Alex b/br J:James McDonald T:Douglas Whyte	J:James McDonald T:Douglas Whyte	125	tp	700271	50	77	-	28d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
No longer the force of old but scored over C&D off a reduced mark last month
7 (11)	Sixth Generation Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jamie Richards	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jamie Richards	125	t	865674	50	81	-	25d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Not beaten far on any of his four appearances this season; considered each-way
8 (10)	Lucky Banner Chestnut J:C Y Ho T:C Fownes	J:C Y Ho T:C Fownes	123	t	352322	48	75	-	21d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
In good form on dirt and turf this season but has tricky draw for a front-runner
9 (2)	Charming Steed Bay J:Zac Purton T:C Fownes	J:Zac Purton T:C Fownes	120	t	536121	45	72	-	175d	—	—	—	19.1	—	—
In very good form at end of last season but returns from layoff in higher-grade company
10 (12)	Chater Gold Bay J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	120	p	642428	45	73	-	31d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Went close two starts ago but not in same form last time and now 0-11
11 (4)	Golden Darci Bay J:Yuga Kawada T:D J Hall	J:Yuga Kawada T:D J Hall	120	—	768044	45	77	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Very respectable fourth at Sha Tin recently but others have more pressing claims
12 (1)	Super Baby Bay J:Rachel King T:Mark Newnham	J:Rachel King T:Mark Newnham	119	t	504534	44	77	-	14d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Good fourth from stall 12 here a fortnight ago; might win this from the inside berth

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charming Steed

19.1

OR: 0 Form: 19.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Sure Joyful

15.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Prince Alex

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0

—

Forever Glorious

11.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Banner

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Jumbo Fortune

10.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Can't Go Wong

5.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0

—

Chater Gold

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Viva Chaleur

4.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Super Baby

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Wah May Wai Wai

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

En Perfecto

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sixth Generation

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Golden Darci

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sure Joyful	60	74	—
Forever Glorious	59	72	—
Viva Chaleur	56	71	—
Wah May Wai Wai	53	80	—
Jumbo Fortune	52	75	—
Can't Go Wong	51	74	—
Prince Alex	50	77	—
Sixth Generation	50	81	—
En Perfecto	48	74	—
Lucky Banner	48	75	—
Charming Steed	45	72	—
Chater Gold	45	73	—
Golden Darci	45	77	—
Super Baby	44	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jumbo Fortune	10d ago	Quick return
Golden Darci	10d ago	Quick return
Can't Go Wong	14d ago	Fit
Super Baby	14d ago	Fit
Viva Chaleur	21d ago	Fit
Lucky Banner	21d ago	Fit
Sixth Generation	25d ago	Fit
Wah May Wai Wai	28d ago	Fit
Sure Joyful	28d ago	Fit
Prince Alex	28d ago	Fit
Chater Gold	31d ago	Fit
Forever Glorious	38d ago	Fit
En Perfecto	45d ago	Fit
Charming Steed	175d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Lucky Banner	Front Runner
Super Baby	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.