BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:13

BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2024-12-06

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,190

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Penzance Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	60743V	95	117	100	27d	—	—	-11	24.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Solid record over 1m2f on AW includes a good effort in this year's Easter Classic
11 (5)	Parlando Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	119	—	581264	86	114	101	13d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Consistent AW record includes a solid effort over C&D in August; possibilities
8 (6)	Dark Moon Rising Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	123	b	923301	90	113	73	15d	—	—	+14	27	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Scored at Southwell returned to AW two weeks ago; set for a productive winter
5 (3)	Mr Alan Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	127	p	484545	94	113	-	41d	—	—	+4	13.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Mudlark on turf; attractively treated for this return to Tapeta
3 (11)	Claymore Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	135	—	647646	102	114	92	20d	—	—	+6	15.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Group 3 winner at Royal Ascot in 2022; has failed to repeat that form since
2 (4)	Savvy Victory Bay J:Sean Levey T:S Woods	J:Sean Levey T:S Woods	137	p	567654	104	111	92	20d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran respectably in C&D Listed event last month but is back up 4lb for that effort
1 (8)	Pride Of America Bay J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	140	t	71322-	107	113	-	398d	—	—	+23	29	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Landed major handicap on turf in 2023; absent for 13 months; market instructive
6 (9)	Wadacre Gomez Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	51410V	93	113	94	27d	—	—	+15	19	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Productive AW handicapper but needs further progress; on career-high mark
9 (7)	Yantarni Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Ian Williams	J:Cam Hardie T:Ian Williams	122	—	114207	89	111	-	76d	—	—	+13	14.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Triple 7f winner this year and stays 1m; has stamina to prove back at 1m2f
7 (2)	Chichester Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	123	v	-96076	90	104	75	45d	—	—	+9	10.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Form has taken a sharp downturn this year for new stable
NR (10)	King's Code Bay J:TBC T:David Evans	J: T:David Evans	121	v	085631	88	116	104	13d	—	—	—	21.6	—	—
Back up 7lb for Wolverhampton win but defied this mark in February; major player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Penzance	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/4	11/8
Parlando	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
Dark Moon Rising	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Mr Alan	7/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Claymore	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Savvy Victory	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Pride Of America	14/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Wadacre Gomez	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Yantarni	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Chichester	150/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
King's Code	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pride Of America

OR: 14.3 Form: 13 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

Dark Moon Rising

OR: 10 Form: 13.4 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Penzance

24.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 11.4

6/4

King's Code

21.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

Wadacre Gomez

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Parlando

18.5

OR: 9 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Claymore

15.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Savvy Victory

15.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Yantarni

14.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Mr Alan

13.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Chichester

10.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pride Of America	107	113	—
Savvy Victory	104	111	92
Claymore	102	114	92
Penzance	95	117	100
Mr Alan	94	113	—
Wadacre Gomez	93	113	94
Dark Moon Rising	90	113	73
Chichester	90	104	75
Yantarni	89	111	—
King's Code	88	116	104
Parlando	86	114	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Parlando	13d ago	Quick return
King's Code	13d ago	Quick return
Dark Moon Rising	15d ago	Fit
Claymore	20d ago	Fit
Savvy Victory	20d ago	Fit
Penzance	27d ago	Fit
Wadacre Gomez	27d ago	Fit
Mr Alan	41d ago	Fit
Chichester	45d ago	Fit
Yantarni	76d ago	Fresh
Pride Of America	398d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.