Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:20

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-12-06

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,956

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (12)	Koy Koy Bay J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	137	t	950512	89	100	89	13d	—	—	+9	27	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Recent form puts him in the picture and he remains well treated on historical data
2 (9)	Noble Order Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	137	—	13/108	89	101	58	208d	—	—	-1	14.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Interesting on return from layoff, having shown that he acts well fresh; C&D winner
5 (13)	Dragon Icon Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	136	—	-04998	88	101	68	197d	—	—	-2	13.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Gelded since last run and returns from 197-day layoff; market may be helpful
12 (6)	Billyb Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	130	—	-51203	82	100	79	20d	—	—	+7	20.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Largely in good form this year for new stable; close third here most recently; solid
10 (4)	Apiarist Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	444394	85	99	-	42d	—	—	0	14.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-8 this term but is largely consistent; frame possibilities on AW debut
14 (1)	Cavalry Call Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Simon & Ed Crisford	124	—	772102	77	100	74	52d	—	—	+13	20.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Steadily progressive of late; ran well over C&D most recently; warrants respect
4 (11)	Dolce Courage Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	137	t	11-6	89	98	51	44d	—	—	+5	11.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Record of 2-3 for the Gosdens and may do better still; sold for 8,000gns since last run
7 (3)	Bless Him Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	136	h	080900	88	102	58	16d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Below best of late but Newcastle record (1213) offers hope for a revival
6 (10)	Nikovo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	136	—	314652	88	99	79	63d	—	—	+12	18.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Close second over C&D last time; sold out of David O'Meara's yard for 18,000gns since
9 (14)	Silent Move Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	—	2-5171	88	97	-	30d	—	—	+9	14.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not sure to get an easy lead in this field but is otherwise steadily progressive
1 (5)	Mcmanaman Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	138	—	170742	90	99	80	13d	—	—	+12	16	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has form figures of 0742 for new yard; close second over 7f at Wolverhampton latest
13 (7)	Orbaan Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	129	t	049048	81	99	69	13d	—	—	+6	8.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won this year's Carlisle Bell but has generally struggled to sustain his form since
NR (8)	Christian David Bay J:TBC T:Richard Hannon	J: T:Richard Hannon	135	p	-33031	88	97	-	168d	—	—	—	23.1	—	—
Won at Goodwood when last seen and the form has substance; interesting contender
NR (2)	Dingle Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	130	—	242708	82	-	-	132d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Disappointing favourite here when last seen; has a respectable C&D record otherwise

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Koy Koy	4/1	4/1	4/1
Noble Order	9/2	9/2	9/2
Dragon Icon	5/1	5/1	5/1
Billyb	11/2	11/2	11/2
Apiarist	13/2	7/1	7/1
Cavalry Call	12/1	11/1	12/1
Dolce Courage	16/1	12/1	14/1
Bless Him	12/1	14/1	14/1
Nikovo	16/1	14/1	16/1
Silent Move	20/1	16/1	18/1
Mcmanaman	28/1	25/1	28/1
Orbaan	50/1	40/1	40/1
Christian David	-	-	-
Dingle	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Koy Koy

OR: 9.8 Form: 12 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Christian David

23.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Billyb

20.5

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Cavalry Call

20.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Nikovo

18.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mcmanaman

OR: 10 Form: 5 Odds: 1

28/1

Silent Move

14.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Apiarist

14.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

7/1

Noble Order

14.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dragon Icon

13.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Dolce Courage

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Bless Him

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Dingle

9.5

OR: 8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Orbaan

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mcmanaman	90	99	80
Koy Koy	89	100	89
Noble Order	89	101	58
Dolce Courage	89	98	51
Dragon Icon	88	101	68
Bless Him	88	102	58
Nikovo	88	99	79
Silent Move	88	97	—
Christian David	88	97	—
Apiarist	85	99	—
Billyb	82	100	79
Dingle	82	—	—
Orbaan	81	99	69
Cavalry Call	77	100	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Koy Koy	13d ago	Quick return
Mcmanaman	13d ago	Quick return
Orbaan	13d ago	Quick return
Bless Him	16d ago	Fit
Billyb	20d ago	Fit
Silent Move	30d ago	Fit
Apiarist	42d ago	Fit
Dolce Courage	44d ago	Fit
Cavalry Call	52d ago	Fresh
Nikovo	63d ago	Fresh
Dingle	132d ago	Long break
Christian David	168d ago	Long break
Dragon Icon	197d ago	Long break
Noble Order	208d ago	Long break