Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race)

Navan

13:42

Date 2024-12-07

Distance 3m1f50y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €59,000

Winning Time 6m 52.80s (slow by 38.80s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Flicker Of Hope (FR) Aidan Kelly · Mark Fahey	8/1	Won
2nd	Backmersackme (IRE) Conor Clarke · Emmet Mullins	50/1	0.1
3rd	Oscars Brother (IRE) Daniel King · Connor King	4/1F	0.1
4th	Gaoth Chuil (IRE) Gavin Brouder · T M Walsh	11/1	9
5th	Fortunedefortunata (IRE) Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott	40/1	.75
6th	Iceberg Theory (IRE) Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	8/1	0.3
7th	Paggane (GB) Paul Townend · W P Mullins	11/2	4.75
8th	Open To Question (USA) Donagh Meyler · Noel Meade	100/1	3.5
9th	Intense Raffles (FR) Bryony Frost · Thomas Gibney	16/1	4.75
10th	My Trump Card (IRE) Carl Millar · Gordon Elliott	5/1	1.75
11th	Prends Garde A Toi (FR) Sam Ewing · Gordon Elliott	12/1	0.3
12th	Beaufort Scale (IRE) Jake Coen · Gordon Elliott	33/1	2.75
13th	Lucky Lyreen (IRE) Kevin Sexton · Gordon Elliott	50/1	7.5
14th	Space Tourist (IRE) Sean Cleary-Farrell · W P Mullins	33/1	9
15th	Sarah Beara (IRE) Phillip Enright · S Curling	16/1	7
16th	Digby (IRE) Patrick M O'Brien · Dermot A McLoughlin	33/1	12
17th	Good Time Jonny (IRE) Mr J H Williamson · A J Martin	18/1	6

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Four Clean Aces (IRE) Brian Hayes · W P Mullins	28/1
P.U.	Jody Ted (IRE) Mark McDonagh · Eoin Griffin	80/1
P.U.	Slanagaibhgoleir (IRE) Conor Stone-Walsh · Gordon Elliott	14/1

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Oscars Brother Bay J:Daniel King T:Connor King	J:Daniel King T:Connor King	155	—	6-5231	130	147	121	34d	—	—	+7	25.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Stays well, feasible that he could uphold Cork novice form with Paggane on these terms
8	My Trump Card Bay J:Carl Millar(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(5) T:Gordon Elliott	153	—	/2121-	128	146	121	322d	—	—	+27	44.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Absent since winning a 2m4f maiden here in January, interesting with a good claimer aboard
16	Paggane Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	148	—	-1U222	123	148	124	34d	—	—	+21	34.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Beaten 2l by Oscars Brother in a novice event at Cork, Paul Townend sticks with her
20	Flicker Of Hope b/br J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	145	—	4-1181	120	141	111	125d	—	—	+10	20.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Highly progressive in winning three of his last four handicap starts, returns after break
19	Iceberg Theory Chestnut J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	146	p	2316-3	121	147	124	42d	—	—	+15	23	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Course maiden winner over 2m4f, fair third behind Four Clean Aces in his first handicap
10	Prends Garde A Toi Chestnut J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	152	—	24-124	127	138	121	20d	—	—	+14	21.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has been keeping good company in novices races, possibly the pick of stable's runners
3	Gaoth Chuil Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:T M Walsh	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:T M Walsh	158	—	212P-5	133	146	110	27d	—	—	+16	22.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Showed good form in staying handicaps at Leopardstown last winter, fitness assured
18	Slanagaibhgoleir Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gordon Elliott	147	—	514P-4	122	143	113	13d	—	—	+13	19.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made a satisfactory start to the new season in a Pertemps qualifier, should be sharper now
2	Good Time Jonny Bay J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:A J Martin	J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:A J Martin	161	t	53P-34	136	145	-	48d	—	—	+17	23.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2023 Pertemps Final winner, has been struggling to make an impact over fences, 7lb claimed
1	Intense Raffles Grey J:Bryony Frost T:Thomas Gibney	J:Bryony Frost T:Thomas Gibney	166	—	/7111-	141	149	-	250d	—	—	+39	46.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Irish Grand National hero makes reappearance, 10lb lower than chase mark, may need the run
21	Sarah Beara Bay J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	141	—	335-27	116	146	80	20d	—	—	+14	17.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Creditable second over 3m at Roscommon, a bit extra needed judged on last month's run here
12	Four Clean Aces Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	151	—	-21441	126	143	117	42d	—	—	+30	34	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Stayed 2m6f effectively at Galway, Paul Townend deserts her to partner Paggane
7	Space Tourist Bay J:Sean Cleary-Farrell(7) T:W P Mullins	J:Sean Cleary-Farrell(7) T:W P Mullins	154	—	-5122P	129	144	-	24d	—	—	+25	28	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Reverts to hurdling after being pulled up on her most recent chase start, others preferred
14	Backmersackme Chestnut J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Emmet Mullins	J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Emmet Mullins	148	t	6-6445	123	146	133	14d	—	—	+16	19	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Last of five finishers behind Irish-trained Shoot First at Haydock, tongue-tie added now
11	Fortunedefortunata Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	151	—	634-69	126	143	79	20d	—	—	+17	19.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Course 2m winner, not one of the more obvious staying types among yard's seven runners
17	Beaufort Scale Bay J:Jake Coen(3) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jake Coen(3) T:Gordon Elliott	147	t	213U91	122	143	103	24d	—	—	+29	30.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Tailed off in a 3m Gowran handicap in October, last month's Bangor win was reassuring
4	Lucky Lyreen Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Gordon Elliott	J:Kevin Sexton T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	3211P-	133	144	114	219d	—	—	+32	33.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Progressive last season until failing to run to expectations at the Punchestown festival
15	Digby Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	148	—	24P-34	123	144	-	27d	—	—	+17	18.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Three-time hurdles winner, has been chasing and makes little appeal on recent form
13	Jody Ted Chestnut J:Mark McDonagh T:Eoin Griffin	J:Mark McDonagh T:Eoin Griffin	150	t	/11U-P	125	142	59	14d	—	—	+17	19.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Stays well, has a good strike rate over hurdles, needs to bounce back from Haydock failure
9	Open To Question Chestnut J:Donagh Meyler T:Noel Meade	J:Donagh Meyler T:Noel Meade	152	—	195-17	128	146	126	—	—	—	+18	19.9	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Failed to make an impact in his first handicap at Roscommon, poor Flat run ten days later
NR	Minella Sixo Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	1121	133	144	126	16d	—	—	—	42.3	—	—
Stepped up in trip again to win a Thurles novice hurdle two weeks ago; promising stayer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Oscars Brother	9/2	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2
My Trump Card	9/2	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2
Paggane	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1
Flicker Of Hope	15/2	13/2	8/1	8/1	10/1
Iceberg Theory	11/1	9/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Prends Garde A Toi	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Gaoth Chuil	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Slanagaibhgoleir	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Good Time Jonny	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Intense Raffles	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1
Sarah Beara	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Four Clean Aces	33/1	20/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Space Tourist	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	25/1
Backmersackme	50/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Fortunedefortunata	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1
Beaufort Scale	80/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Lucky Lyreen	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Digby	80/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Jody Ted	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	40/1
Open To Question	125/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
Minella Sixo	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intense Raffles

46.9

OR: 22.8 Form: 22 Odds: 2.1

14/1

2nd

My Trump Card

44.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 20 Odds: 5

5/1

3rd

Minella Sixo

42.3

OR: 20.8 Form: 21.5 Odds: 0

—

Paggane

34.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 4

11/2

Four Clean Aces

OR: 19 Form: 14 Odds: 1

33/1

Lucky Lyreen

33.8

OR: 20.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Beaufort Scale

30.6

OR: 18 Form: 12.2 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Space Tourist

OR: 19.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Oscars Brother

25.2

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Good Time Jonny

23.4

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Iceberg Theory

OR: 17.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Gaoth Chuil

22.7

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Prends Garde A Toi

21.4

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Flicker Of Hope

20.6

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Slanagaibhgoleir

19.9

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Open To Question

19.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Fortunedefortunata

19.8

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Jody Ted

19.3

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Backmersackme

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Digby

18.6

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Sarah Beara

17.6

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Intense Raffles	141	149	—
Good Time Jonny	136	145	—
Gaoth Chuil	133	146	110
Lucky Lyreen	133	144	114
Minella Sixo	133	144	126
Oscars Brother	130	147	121
Space Tourist	129	144	—
My Trump Card	128	146	121
Open To Question	128	146	126
Prends Garde A Toi	127	138	121
Four Clean Aces	126	143	117
Fortunedefortunata	126	143	79
Jody Ted	125	142	59
Paggane	123	148	124
Backmersackme	123	146	133
Digby	123	144	—
Slanagaibhgoleir	122	143	113
Beaufort Scale	122	143	103
Iceberg Theory	121	147	124
Flicker Of Hope	120	141	111
Sarah Beara	116	146	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Slanagaibhgoleir	13d ago	Quick return
Backmersackme	14d ago	Fit
Jody Ted	14d ago	Fit
Minella Sixo	16d ago	Fit
Prends Garde A Toi	20d ago	Fit
Sarah Beara	20d ago	Fit
Fortunedefortunata	20d ago	Fit
Space Tourist	24d ago	Fit
Beaufort Scale	24d ago	Fit
Gaoth Chuil	27d ago	Fit
Digby	27d ago	Fit
Oscars Brother	34d ago	Fit
Paggane	34d ago	Fit
Iceberg Theory	42d ago	Fit
Four Clean Aces	42d ago	Fit
Good Time Jonny	48d ago	Fresh
Flicker Of Hope	125d ago	Long break
Lucky Lyreen	219d ago	Long break
Intense Raffles	250d ago	Long break
My Trump Card	322d ago	Long break
Open To Question	—	—