Win £1M With Betmgm's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Win £1M With Betmgm's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-12-09

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Quiet Resolve Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	805332	71	87	61	33d	—	—	-9	24.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Placed twice off today's mark at Southwell this autumn; probably in the mix again
4 (12)	Equion Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	134	—	362121	71	85	48	33d	—	—	+16	28.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ended turf season in good form on slow ground; on fairly tough mark for AW return
6 (9)	Jewel Maker Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	133	—	647212	70	83	66	23d	—	—	+10	23.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In-form veteran; clearcut C&D winner last month and has gone very close since
9 (4)	Barleybrown Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	130	—	913123	67	83	66	32d	—	—	+10	22	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Four C&D wins this year; placed over C&D on last two outings; contender
8 (3)	Drumstick Bay J:Sam Feilden(7) T:John Gallagher	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:John Gallagher	130	—	945954	68	82	75	19d	—	—	-3	7.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Kept on well for fourth at Kempton last month and remains unexposed over 1m
11 (2)	Tasever Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	125	p	836211	62	85	68	23d	—	—	+17	25.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Resurgent 4yo who has won his last two over C&D; can't be ignored in current mood
10 (10)	Wyvern Brown J:Harry Burns(3) T:Patrick Morris	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Patrick Morris	125	p	008341	62	83	54	23d	—	—	+11	15.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Just held on over C&D last month and has 3lb rise offset by Harry Burns' claim
7 (7)	Royal Blaze Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	132	—	1-2549	70	81	-	92d	—	—	+9	13	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Became disappointing for Marcus Tregoning; makes stable/AW debut today
3 (6)	Educate Bay J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	135	—	538979	73	75	47	30d	—	—	+4	7.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
All four runs for new stable this autumn have been very disappointing
12 (5)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	124	p	708175	61	83	-	33d	—	—	+6	8.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Turf winner in October but two lesser efforts have followed; not the percentage call
1 (11)	Lesrico Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Lisa Williamson	J:Cam Hardie T:Lisa Williamson	135	h	405	72	70	15	175d	—	—	+4	6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Not disgraced in his three qualifying runs but improvement is needed on handicap debut
2 (1)	Summa Peto Grey Roan J:George Buckell(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:George Buckell(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	p	5-5070	72	84	28	135d	—	—	+5	5.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Without a win since 2021 and absent since finishing last over C&D in July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Quiet Resolve	6/4	13/8	6/4	11/8	13/8
Equion	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Jewel Maker	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Barleybrown	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Drumstick	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Tasever	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	15/2
Wyvern	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Royal Blaze	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1
Educate	40/1	33/1	33/1	50/1	40/1
Ayr Poet	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Lesrico	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Summa Peto	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Equion

28.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 20 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Tasever

25.6

OR: 3 Form: 20.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Quiet Resolve

24.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 10.6

13/8

Jewel Maker

23.1

OR: 5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Barleybrown

OR: 4.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Wyvern

15.9

OR: 3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Royal Blaze

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 1

25/1

Ayr Poet

8.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Drumstick

7.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Educate

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Lesrico

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Summa Peto

5.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Educate	73	75	47
Lesrico	72	70	15
Summa Peto	72	84	28
Quiet Resolve	71	87	61
Equion	71	85	48
Jewel Maker	70	83	66
Royal Blaze	70	81	—
Drumstick	68	82	75
Barleybrown	67	83	66
Tasever	62	85	68
Wyvern	62	83	54
Ayr Poet	61	83	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Drumstick	19d ago	Fit
Jewel Maker	23d ago	Fit
Tasever	23d ago	Fit
Wyvern	23d ago	Fit
Educate	30d ago	Fit
Barleybrown	32d ago	Fit
Quiet Resolve	33d ago	Fit
Equion	33d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	33d ago	Fit
Royal Blaze	92d ago	Long break
Summa Peto	135d ago	Long break
Lesrico	175d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.