British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

16:40

Date 2024-12-11

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 39.96s (slow by 2.56s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Molveno (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	9/2	Won
2nd	Golden Thorn (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	7/2F	1.5
3rd	Cherry Cobbler (GB) Sean Levey · Stuart Williams	14/1	2.5
4th	Zarathos (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	5/1	3.75
5th	McKenna (IRE) George Buckell · George Boughey	20/1	1.25
6th	Invincible Duke (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	9/2	2
7th	John T (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	66/1	2.75
8th	Without Burlington (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	9/1	0.2
9th	Garibaldi Memory (IRE) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	40/1	2
10th	Rory's Gold (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Paul Attwater	22/1	0.3
11th	Electric Bass (GB) Jim Crowley · Roger Teal	20/1	2.5
12th	Goal Line (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Adrian Paul Keatley	17/2	24
13th	Itsgottobefun (IRE) Liam Keniry · J S Moore	200/1	1.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (2)	Molveno Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	131	t	03	-	82	50	37d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Placed at Southwell last time; top on the figures and open to further improvement to boot
3 (12)	Invincible Duke Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
50,000gns yearling; by Invincible Spirit; major stable; looks the pick of the newcomers
14 (8)	Golden Thorn Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	6	-	69	47	21d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Debut effort (midfield over 7f here) suggests this longer trip will suit; interesting
12 (14)	Goal Line Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	129	—	30	-	77	-	110d	—	—	-6	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Both starts on turf; stiff task last time; has place claims on debut form (third at Ayr)
6 (9)	Zarathos Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	133	—	7	-	68	46	21d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ties in closely with Golden Thorn on C&D running and both look likely to improve
8 (6)	McKenna Bay J:George Buckell(3) T:George Boughey	J:George Buckell(3) T:George Boughey	131	—	4	-	64	58	8d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Modest fourth at Lingfield last week but may improve with the experience under his belt
5 (5)	Without Burlington Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
50,000gns yearling; Without Parole half-brother to two winners; market instructive
1 (3)	Cherry Cobbler Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Refused to enter stalls here last month (125-1 at the time of withdrawal)
11 (1)	Electric Bass Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Teal	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Teal	129	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
10,000gns yearling; by Cable Bay; wears hood on debut; others preferred
10 (7)	Rory's Gold Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Paul Attwater	J:Trevor Whelan T:Paul Attwater	131	—	5	-	74	38	25d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Midfield at Wolverhampton; needs improvement to beat the main form players
4 (13)	The Hrse Horse Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
38,000gns yearling; Invincible Spirit half-brother to two winners; check the betting
2 (11)	Garibaldi Memory Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	133	—	6	-	48	-	55d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest sixth in 1m contest on soft ground at Brighton
7 (4)	John T Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Mastercraftsman half-brother to a 1m winner; check the betting
13 (10)	Itsgottobefun Grey J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
4,000euros yearling; by Grergorian; others are more appealing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Molveno	3/1	3/1	16/5	3/1	7/2
Invincible Duke	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4
Golden Thorn	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Goal Line	7/1	6/1	7/1	6/1	15/2
Zarathos	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
McKenna	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Without Burlington	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cherry Cobbler	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Electric Bass	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Rory's Gold	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
The Hrse Horse	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Garibaldi Memory	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
John T	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Itsgottobefun	150/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Molveno

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Invincible Duke

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Goal Line

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Golden Thorn

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Zarathos

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

McKenna

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Without Burlington

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Cherry Cobbler

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Electric Bass

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Rory's Gold

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

The Hrse Horse

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Garibaldi Memory

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

John T

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Itsgottobefun

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Molveno	—	82	50
Invincible Duke	—	—	—
Golden Thorn	—	69	47
Goal Line	—	77	—
Zarathos	—	68	46
McKenna	—	64	58
Without Burlington	—	—	—
Cherry Cobbler	—	—	—
Electric Bass	—	—	—
Rory's Gold	—	74	38
The Hrse Horse	—	—	—
Garibaldi Memory	—	48	—
John T	—	—	—
Itsgottobefun	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
McKenna	8d ago	Quick return
Golden Thorn	21d ago	Fit
Zarathos	21d ago	Fit
Rory's Gold	25d ago	Fit
Molveno	37d ago	Fit
Garibaldi Memory	55d ago	Fresh
Goal Line	110d ago	Long break
Invincible Duke	—	—
Without Burlington	—	—
Cherry Cobbler	—	—
Electric Bass	—	—
The Hrse Horse	—	—
John T	—	—
Itsgottobefun	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Golden Thorn	Mid-Pack
Rory's Gold	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.