Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:15

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 14.39s (slow by 2.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Havana Sky (GB) Hector Crouch · Ed Dunlop	9/4F	Won
2nd	Alshimali (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Tony Carroll	7/2	0.2
3rd	Captain Vallo (IRE) Sam James · Phillip Makin	100/30	.75
4th	Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB) Sean Levey · J R Jenkins	33/1	1
5th	Supernova Steps (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Loughnane	4/1	0.1
6th	Imola (IRE) Alex Jary · Lawrence Mullaney	20/1	.5
7th	Snow Berry (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	20/1	1.75
8th	Buraback (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Derek Shaw	14/1	2.75
9th	Crocus Time (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	28/1	3
10th	Pinpoint (GB) Jason Hart · Ewan Whillans	50/1	1.5
11th	Kipp Kelly (GB) Mark Winn · Derek Shaw	80/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Havana Sky Brown J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	143011	58	73	62	23d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	27.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Three wins since dropped to sprint trips; should make a bold bid for his hat-trick
1 (5)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	137	p	600321	60	70	62	8d	—	—	+1	24.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
In good form since returning from a summer break; 5lb rise for latest win looks fair
7 (1)	Alshimali Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Tony Carroll	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tony Carroll	132	—	-80562	55	71	48	10d	—	—	-8	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good 2nd at Lingfield ten days ago; unexposed as a sprinter; strong claims
10 (12)	Supernova Steps Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	131	—	498194	54	73	58	10d	—	—	-6	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win last month; not so good twice since but Rossa Ryan takes over this evening
5 (10)	Buraback Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	134	p	409506	57	71	58	26d	—	—	-3	3.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Quiet in recent months but it's done his mark no harm; not a solid option at present
2 (8)	Snow Berry Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	p	121774	58	72	60	40d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fair fourth over C&D last month but she needs more to break her AW duck
6 (2)	Imola Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	132	b	372945	55	71	62	37d	—	—	-2	4.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
New yard quick to return her to sprinting and she's of interest on her best form
8 (11)	Crocus Time Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	132	—	257826	55	72	59	61d	—	—	+2	5.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Exposed maiden; dangerous mark if bringing her best form but that can't be assured
12 (7)	Tilsworth Ony Ta Bay J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	129	—	444549	52	69	55	44d	—	—	-2	1.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor run last time but capable off this mark and return to form would come as no surprise
11 (3)	Pinpoint Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	131	—	208505	54	67	33	33d	—	—	0	1.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Capable at this level but needs to leave last month's low-key return well behind him
4 (6)	Kipp Kelly Bay J:Mark Winn T:Derek Shaw	J:Mark Winn T:Derek Shaw	134	—	645659	57	68	58	26d	—	—	+1	2.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Yet to make an impact in handicaps; down in class but hard to warm to
NR (4)	Posh Maisie Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Colin Teague	J:NON-RUNNER T:Colin Teague	132	tp	006080	55	66	-	26d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Ex-Irish maiden who has finished tailed off in two runs for this yard; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Havana Sky	5/2	5/2	5/2
Captain Vallo	3/1	3/1	3/1
Alshimali	7/2	10/3	7/2
Supernova Steps	9/2	9/2	9/2
Buraback	16/1	14/1	14/1
Snow Berry	22/1	22/1	22/1
Imola	16/1	18/1	16/1
Crocus Time	25/1	25/1	25/1
Tilsworth Ony Ta	33/1	33/1	33/1
Pinpoint	80/1	66/1	66/1
Kipp Kelly	80/1	66/1	66/1
Posh Maisie	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Havana Sky

27.9

OR: 2 Form: 17.9 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Captain Vallo

24.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Alshimali

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Supernova Steps

10.7

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Snow Berry

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 4 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Crocus Time

5.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Imola

4.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Buraback

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Kipp Kelly

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Pinpoint

1.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Tilsworth Ony Ta

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Posh Maisie

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Captain Vallo	60	70	62
Havana Sky	58	73	62
Snow Berry	58	72	60
Buraback	57	71	58
Kipp Kelly	57	68	58
Alshimali	55	71	48
Imola	55	71	62
Crocus Time	55	72	59
Posh Maisie	55	66	—
Supernova Steps	54	73	58
Pinpoint	54	67	33
Tilsworth Ony Ta	52	69	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Captain Vallo	8d ago	Quick return
Alshimali	10d ago	Quick return
Supernova Steps	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Sky	23d ago	Fit
Buraback	26d ago	Fit
Kipp Kelly	26d ago	Fit
Posh Maisie	26d ago	Fit
Pinpoint	33d ago	Fit
Imola	37d ago	Fit
Snow Berry	40d ago	Fit
Tilsworth Ony Ta	44d ago	Fit
Crocus Time	61d ago	Fresh