BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

12:00

Date 2024-12-19

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 14.27s (slow by 2.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Don Pacifico (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	8/13F	Won
2nd	Stardancer (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	7/2	2.75
3rd	Reporter (GB) George Downing · Ed Walker	6/1	1.5
4th	Mini Mac (IRE) Jason Hart · George Boughey	40/1	1
5th	Sands Of Havana (GB) Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	7/1	2.75
6th	Boyne Lady (IRE) Clifford Lee · Roger Fell	40/1	0.3
7th	Lucky Escape (IRE) Nicola Currie · Michael Attwater	400/1	4.75
8th	King At The Races (IRE) Shane Gray · Gemma Tutty	200/1	0.05
9th	The Voominator (GB) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	125/1	2.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Don Pacifico Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	t	3	-	88	48	31d	—	—	-32	21.7	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Made eyecatching late headway to be third at Wolverhampton and that's good form
6 (4)	Stardancer Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	130	—	6	-	65	-	48d	—	—	-15	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Looked in need of the experience when kicking off at Newmarket (6f; 17-2)
5 (2)	Reporter Bay J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	130	—	6332	71	83	58	16d	—	—	+5	17.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Had four defeats but last time at Newcastle was the closest he's come to winning
10 (6)	Sands Of Havana Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	125	—	30	-	87	-	183d	—	—	-6	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Third at Windsor before a respectable effort in the Queen Mary; absent since June
1 (5)	Mini Mac Bay J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	134	—	3198	74	82	30	29d	—	—	+10	12.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Soft-ground winner at Brighton (6f) but hasn't progressed since then
9 (8)	Boyne Lady Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	125	—	26	-	82	52	26d	—	—	+2	4.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
First visit to Newcastle was better than the second but opposable even on that initial run
7 (9)	The Voominator Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	130	—	66	-	63	39	36d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Some promise in going down by about 6l in maidens at Beverley (5f) and here (6f)
3 (10)	King At The Races Bay J:Shane Gray T:Gemma Tutty	J:Shane Gray T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	8	-	41	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
In rear throughout on the Newcastle AW and beat only one home
4 (7)	Lucky Escape Chestnut J:Nicola Currie T:Michael Attwater	J:Nicola Currie T:Michael Attwater	130	—	69	-	63	51	29d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
No more than minor promise in his first two races and likely to remain vulnerable for now
NR (3)	Trust Sergei Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Gary Hanmer	J:Joanna Mason T:Gary Hanmer	130	—	7	-	28	-	40d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Never dangerous when beaten just over 20l on soft ground at Doncaster (6f; 66-1)

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Don Pacifico	8/13	8/13	8/13
Stardancer	4/1	10/3	10/3
Reporter	13/2	13/2	6/1
Sands Of Havana	7/1	15/2	13/2
Mini Mac	40/1	40/1	40/1
Boyne Lady	40/1	40/1	33/1
The Voominator	100/1	125/1	80/1
King At The Races	200/1	150/1	125/1
Lucky Escape	500/1	450/1	300/1
Trust Sergei	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Don Pacifico

21.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 18.7

8/13

2nd

Reporter

17.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Mini Mac

12.5

OR: 6 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Stardancer

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Sands Of Havana

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Boyne Lady

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

The Voominator

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

King At The Races

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Lucky Escape

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Trust Sergei

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mini Mac	74	82	30
Reporter	71	83	58
Don Pacifico	—	88	48
Stardancer	—	65	—
Sands Of Havana	—	87	—
Boyne Lady	—	82	52
The Voominator	—	63	39
King At The Races	—	41	—
Lucky Escape	—	63	51
Trust Sergei	—	28	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King At The Races	13d ago	Quick return
Reporter	16d ago	Fit
Boyne Lady	26d ago	Fit
Mini Mac	29d ago	Fit
Lucky Escape	29d ago	Fit
Don Pacifico	31d ago	Fit
The Voominator	36d ago	Fit
Trust Sergei	40d ago	Fit
Stardancer	48d ago	Fresh
Sands Of Havana	183d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.