Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

12:35

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-19

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 14.25s (slow by 2.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rebel Empire (FR) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	8/1	Won
2nd	Doon The Glen (GB) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	7/1	3.75
3rd	Eldeyaar (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	12/1	0.3
4th	Jimmy Knocker (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Andi Brown	33/1	0.3
5th	Walking On Clouds (IRE) Patrick McGettigan · John Butler	4/6F	1
6th	Ustath (GB) Ethan Jones · Roger Fell	50/1	1.75
7th	Nevernay (IRE) Sam James · Kevin Frost	11/2	2
8th	Safanah (GB) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	14/1	1.25
9th	War Memorial (GB) Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	16/1	1.75
10th	Devilwala (IRE) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	100/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Walking On Clouds Bay J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:John Butler	J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:John Butler	135	—	897891	65	79	59	3d	—	—	-20	31.6	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Got up late to win at Wolver on Monday (6f); has the back class to deal with a penalty
5 (9)	Nevernay Bay J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	134	—	936743	64	76	43	17d	—	—	-2	10.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Solid effort over 7f at Wolverhampton this month; drop to 6f could be a positive
12 (5)	Doon The Glen Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	118	v	242735	48	72	58	2d	—	—	-6	7.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Yet to win but he has shown some promise, including on AW; promise on Tuesday's return
2 (8)	Rebel Empire b/br J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	135	t	554348	65	75	62	168d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Not built on his Windsor 3rd in two runs since; down in class and now tried in tongue-tie
9 (6)	Eldeyaar Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	p	410897	59	77	55	2d	—	—	-2	6.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two Class 6 wins in September but struggled since, including when 66-1 on Tuesday
7 (11)	War Memorial Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	132	—	437279	62	77	47	17d	—	—	+1	8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not found his feet yet for this stable but M Ghiani a positive booking; better expected
6 (1)	Safanah Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	—	73229	64	72	45	17d	—	—	+6	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Laboured effort on recent handicap debut (7f); needs to leave that well behind
4 (7)	Jimmy Knocker Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Andi Brown	J:Jack Mitchell T:Andi Brown	134	—	940	64	69	34	238d	—	—	+1	4.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Unexposed 3yo but form claims look modest; gelding op and drop in trip need to spark extra
11 (10)	Ustath Chestnut J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Roger Fell	123	—	134187	53	78	65	101d	—	—	+5	6.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Prolific AW winner but absent for 101 days and could be sharper with this run behind him
10 (3)	Devilwala Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	127	—	09000-	57	-	-	455d	—	—	+1	2.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Smart 2yo; starts out for D Shaw off reduced mark but 6f looks too sharp; absent 455 days
NR (12)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	135	v	974422	65	-	-	9d	—	0W/1P 1 run	—	12.3	—	—
Picked off late in 6f Tapeta handicaps the last twice; now 3lb higher and drawn widest
NR (2)	Bellagio Man Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Antony Brittain	J:NON-RUNNER T:Antony Brittain	137	p	432731	66	-	-	2d	—	—	—	18.2	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Walking On Clouds	8/11	8/11	8/13
Nevernay	7/1	7/1	7/1
Doon The Glen	7/1	13/2	7/1
Rebel Empire	17/2	17/2	17/2
Eldeyaar	8/1	9/1	8/1
War Memorial	14/1	12/1	14/1
Safanah	16/1	16/1	16/1
Jimmy Knocker	25/1	28/1	28/1
Ustath	50/1	50/1	50/1
Devilwala	100/1	100/1	100/1
Kats Bob	-	-	-
Bellagio Man	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Walking On Clouds

31.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

Bellagio Man

18.2

OR: 4 Form: 14.2 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Kats Bob

12.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Safanah

12.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Nevernay

10.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

War Memorial

OR: 3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Rebel Empire

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Doon The Glen

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Ustath

6.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Eldeyaar

6.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Jimmy Knocker

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Devilwala

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bellagio Man	66	—	—
Walking On Clouds	65	79	59
Rebel Empire	65	75	62
Kats Bob	65	—	—
Nevernay	64	76	43
Safanah	64	72	45
Jimmy Knocker	64	69	34
War Memorial	62	77	47
Eldeyaar	59	77	55
Devilwala	57	—	—
Ustath	53	78	65
Doon The Glen	48	72	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Doon The Glen	2d ago	Quick return
Eldeyaar	2d ago	Quick return
Bellagio Man	2d ago	Quick return
Walking On Clouds	3d ago	Quick return
Kats Bob	9d ago	Quick return
Nevernay	17d ago	Fit
War Memorial	17d ago	Fit
Safanah	17d ago	Fit
Ustath	101d ago	Long break
Rebel Empire	168d ago	Long break
Jimmy Knocker	238d ago	Long break
Devilwala	455d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.