Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

11:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (4)	Tenyatta Bay J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	129	—	566525	47	66	46	6d	—	—	-19	13.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Only beaten a neck here last month, but out of the frame in all six starts over 1m-plus
3 (3)	Northern Cracksman Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Lawrence Mullaney	134	b	322752	52	67	42	7d	—	—	-5	13.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-12, but ran well when second of 11 over C&D a week ago; possibilities
2 (1)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	135	v	968325	52	68	60	43d	—	—	-5	9.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Course record reads 17532232; has never attempted this far before but worth a go at it
1 (2)	Fitz Perfectly Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	140	—	673421	57	64	52	11d	—	—	+10	18.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Off the mark at the 20th attempt last time; drop back in trip may suit; high on list
10 (7)	Masham Moor Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	130	—	125505	47	68	62	11d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-4	2.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two of his three wins have come over C&D, the latest from 2lb higher; interesting
4 (12)	Mr Trick Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	133	p	956337	50	67	46	17d	—	—	-1	5.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Just 3-47 over a variety of trips, but he is on a fair mark these days; could figure
6 (8)	Bobby Dassler Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	131	h	680330	48	65	56	45d	—	—	-1	5.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
1-27; ran well in first two starts for yard but took a step backwards last time
7 (11)	Mr Heinz Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Simon Whitaker	J:Cam Hardie T:Simon Whitaker	131	v	613026	48	64	50	45d	—	—	+3	7.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
All 11 AW starts have come at Newcastle; capable of playing a part if this venue suits
12 (10)	Van Zant Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	129	p	260860	46	64	64	39d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Running well here earlier in year including a C&D win, but recent efforts not so good
9 (5)	Alyara Brown J:Dylan Hogan T:Joe Ponting	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joe Ponting	130	p	726453	47	63	37	78d	—	—	+1	5.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Just 2-40, though finished a close third at Chelmsford last time; stable debut
8 (6)	Annalee Lass Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	131	p	33369-	48	62	-	376d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	3.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Showed some good form on Tapeta in 2023, but has something to prove after a year off
5 (9)	Vanity Pays Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	132	b	040560	50	64	-	7d	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
0-20 and finished a fair way behind Northern Cracksman over C&D a week ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tenyatta	6/4	7/4	13/8	13/8	7/4
Northern Cracksman	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Urban Dandy	6/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1
Fitz Perfectly	9/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Masham Moor	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Mr Trick	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Bobby Dassler	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Mr Heinz	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Van Zant	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Alyara	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Annalee Lass	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Vanity Pays	150/1	125/1	125/1	50/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fitz Perfectly

18.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Tenyatta

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Northern Cracksman

13.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Urban Dandy

9.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

7/1

Mr Heinz

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Mr Trick

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bobby Dassler

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Alyara

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Annalee Lass

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Masham Moor

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Van Zant

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Vanity Pays

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fitz Perfectly	57	64	52
Northern Cracksman	52	67	42
Urban Dandy	52	68	60
Mr Trick	50	67	46
Vanity Pays	50	64	—
Bobby Dassler	48	65	56
Mr Heinz	48	64	50
Annalee Lass	48	62	—
Tenyatta	47	66	46
Masham Moor	47	68	62
Alyara	47	63	37
Van Zant	46	64	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tenyatta	6d ago	Quick return
Northern Cracksman	7d ago	Quick return
Vanity Pays	7d ago	Quick return
Fitz Perfectly	11d ago	Quick return
Masham Moor	11d ago	Quick return
Mr Trick	17d ago	Fit
Van Zant	39d ago	Fit
Urban Dandy	43d ago	Fit
Bobby Dassler	45d ago	Fit
Mr Heinz	45d ago	Fit
Alyara	78d ago	Fresh
Annalee Lass	376d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.