Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

13:07

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 58.14s (slow by 1.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Captain Kinsella (GB) Sam Feilden · John Gallagher	20/1	Won
2nd	Backspin (IRE) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	6/4F	.75
3rd	Blinky (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ed Walker	7/2	.5
4th	Coul Angel (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	16/1	0.2
5th	Hello Zaman (IRE) Clifford Lee · James Tate	12/1	.5
6th	Cemlyn (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Edward Bethell	18/1	.5
7th	Farandaway (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	5/2	1.25
8th	Writteninthestars (GB) Luke Catton · Robert Cowell	250/1	6.5
9th	Highfield Blue (IRE) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	80/1	7.5
10th	Runnindown A Dream (GB) Lewis Edmunds · J R Jenkins	250/1	10

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Backspin Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	130	—	9	-	79	-	189d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Never competitive after meeting early trouble on Sandown debut; watch market on return
5 (1)	Farandaway b/br J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	130	—	2222	75	90	75	7d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	0	26.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Runner-up in all four starts including over C&D a week ago; likely to be right there again
1 (7)	Blinky Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	137	—	965346	74	81	66	16d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Turf winner; looks vulnerable under his penalty back in a novice
6 (3)	Hello Zaman Bay J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Stable does have 2yo winners first time and worth a market check
4 (10)	Coul Angel Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Something to like on breeding but stable has few 2yo winners first time out
2 (9)	Captain Kinsella Chestnut J:Sam Feilden(5) T:John Gallagher	J:Sam Feilden(5) T:John Gallagher	137	—	0031	67	82	62	11d	—	—	+13	17.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Improving; made all at Newcastle 11 days ago; shouldn't be underestimated under penalty
9 (5)	Cemlyn Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	125	—	4	-	79	55	27d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not beaten far when fourth over 6f on Newcastle debut, but form not working out
10 (11)	Highfield Blue Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	125	—	74	-	73	-	44d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Held in both starts, but likely she is capable of better; sire has a fine record here
7 (8)	Writteninthestars Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Robert Cowell	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Robert Cowell	130	—	98	-	44	26	48d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Well held in both starts 175 days apart; handicaps an option after this
11 (4)	Runnindown A Dream Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the yard
NR (2)	Forager Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Pearce	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Pearce	129	h	130524	69	-	-	7d	—	—	—	8.9	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Backspin	11/8	5/4	5/4
Farandaway	11/4	5/2	5/2
Blinky	4/1	5/1	5/1
Hello Zaman	10/1	15/2	15/2
Coul Angel	16/1	14/1	16/1
Captain Kinsella	25/1	20/1	20/1
Cemlyn	12/1	18/1	18/1
Highfield Blue	80/1	66/1	66/1
Writteninthestars	250/1	150/1	150/1
Runnindown A Dream	250/1	150/1	250/1
Forager	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Farandaway

26.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Captain Kinsella

17.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

3rd

Blinky

12.5

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

5/1

Backspin

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

Forager

8.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0

—

Hello Zaman

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Coul Angel

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

16/1

Cemlyn

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Highfield Blue

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Writteninthestars

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Runnindown A Dream

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Farandaway	75	90	75
Blinky	74	81	66
Forager	69	—	—
Captain Kinsella	67	82	62
Backspin	—	79	—
Hello Zaman	—	—	—
Coul Angel	—	—	—
Cemlyn	—	79	55
Highfield Blue	—	73	—
Writteninthestars	—	44	26
Runnindown A Dream	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Farandaway	7d ago	Quick return
Forager	7d ago	Quick return
Captain Kinsella	11d ago	Quick return
Blinky	16d ago	Fit
Cemlyn	27d ago	Fit
Highfield Blue	44d ago	Fit
Writteninthestars	48d ago	Fresh
Backspin	189d ago	Long break
Hello Zaman	—	—
Coul Angel	—	—
Runnindown A Dream	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.