Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:52

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Tarqeez Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	7	-	71	-	245d	—	—	-18	8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ran green on Newbury debut in April and could show a lot more on her return
6 (2)	Dark Lyric Bay J:Jason Watson T:S Woods	J:Jason Watson T:S Woods	128	—	42323	76	89	60	27d	—	—	-2	24	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Sets a fair standard on her second over C&D in October and she's respected back in trip
8 (7)	Picturesque Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Well-bred filly and yard is 45% with 3yos here this year; interesting newcomer
1 (9)	Grabajabba Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	—	4	-	62	50	11d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Some late headway at Wolverhampton 11 days ago but he needs plenty of progress
2 (10)	Jungle Cruise Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has good standard to aim at on debut and is best watched from wide draw
4 (3)	Mr Withington Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	133	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Already been gelded and looks opposable with hood applied on debut
10 (5)	Tresca Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	J:Rob Hornby T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Half-sister to a 6f-1m winner; hood is applied on debut and others are preferred
3 (1)	Marioento Bay J:Fred Daly(7) T:George Boughey	J:Fred Daly(7) T:George Boughey	133	—	8	-	55	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Made low-key start at a biggish price over C&D (eighth of ten) 11 days ago; down the list
7 (6)	Darlo Lady Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Anthony Carson	J:Dylan Hogan T:Anthony Carson	128	—	7	-	57	-	11d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Didn't a show a great deal over C&D on recent debut and she's probably one for later on
NR (4)	Muddy Mooy Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	133	—	1	-	82	-	337d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Won on Chelmsford debut in January; not seen since and market should guide on comeback

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tarqeez	2/1	5/2	5/2	2/1	5/2
Dark Lyric	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Picturesque	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Grabajabba	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Jungle Cruise	12/1	11/1	11/1	14/1	11/1
Mr Withington	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Tresca	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Marioento	200/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	200/1
Darlo Lady	200/1	150/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Muddy Mooy	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dark Lyric

OR: 6.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Muddy Mooy

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Tarqeez

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Picturesque

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Grabajabba

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Jungle Cruise

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Mr Withington

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Tresca

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Marioento

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Darlo Lady

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dark Lyric	76	89	60
Tarqeez	—	71	—
Picturesque	—	—	—
Grabajabba	—	62	50
Jungle Cruise	—	—	—
Mr Withington	—	—	—
Tresca	—	—	—
Marioento	—	55	—
Darlo Lady	—	57	—
Muddy Mooy	—	82	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Grabajabba	11d ago	Quick return
Marioento	11d ago	Quick return
Darlo Lady	11d ago	Quick return
Dark Lyric	27d ago	Fit
Tarqeez	245d ago	Long break
Muddy Mooy	337d ago	Long break
Picturesque	—	—
Jungle Cruise	—	—
Mr Withington	—	—
Tresca	—	—