Erica Handicap (Class 4) (3yo) (Course A+3) (Turf)

Sha Tin

17:15

Date 2024-12-22

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £65,915

Winning Time 1m 22.22s (slow by 1.22s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ka Ying Attack (NZ) Matthew Poon · D J Hall	31/5	Won
2nd	Etalon Or (AUS) Alexis Badel · P F Yiu	27/10F	0.2
3rd	Juneau Pride (AUS) Brenton Avdulla · J Size	37/10	0.1
4th	World Hero (AUS) Alexis Pouchin · David A Hayes	28/1	1.25
5th	California Moxie (IRE) Angus Chung · A S Cruz	19/5	.5
6th	Somelovefromabove (AUS) Hugh Bowman · C Fownes	35/1	1.25
7th	Storm Runner (NZ) K C Leung · P C Ng	96/1	0.05
8th	Jolly Jumper (NZ) Harry Bentley · T P Yung	99/1	.5
9th	Cashiscash (AUS) Jerry Chau · Douglas Whyte	50/1	.5
10th	Mission Strike (AUS) L J Ferraris · Mark Newnham	17/1	0.3
11th	Lucky Statement (AUS) Zac Purton · K L Man	57/10	0.3
12th	The Auspicious (NZ) M L Yeung · Y S Tsui	83/1	0.05
13th	Patch Of Lucky (AUS) Matthew Chadwick · Jimmy Ting	73/1	1.75
14th	Bear Champ (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · C W Chang	17/1	15

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R15 (15)	Dragon Sunrise Grey Roan J:TBC T:K W Lui	J: T:K W Lui	129	—	7	52	64	-	43d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Posted a fair effort on last month's debut; will have learned plenty from that experience
R16 (16)	California Blitz Chestnut J:TBC T:W K Mo	J: T:W K Mo	129	t	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has responded to pressure in recent trials; may battle it out for the minor honours
1 (10)	Ka Ying Attack Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:D J Hall	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:D J Hall	135	—	41	58	68	-	43d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	—	12	—	—
Built upon an eye-catching debut when scoring last month; 6lb rise doesn't look beyond him
2 (13)	Juneau Pride Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	132	—	22	55	72	-	43d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	9.8	—	—
Has suffered narrow defeats in both career starts so far; another bold bid likely
3 (14)	Etalon Or Chestnut J:Alexis Badel T:P F Yiu	J:Alexis Badel T:P F Yiu	130	b	0253	53	73	-	43d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Unlucky not to strike in all three handicap starts this season; wide draw a slight concern
4 (9)	Jolly Jumper Bay J:Harry Bentley T:T P Yung	J:Harry Bentley T:T P Yung	129	—	—	52	55	-	21d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Sent off at big price on his recent C&D debut and ran accordingly; can only be watched
5 (1)	Lucky Statement b/br J:Zac Purton T:K L Man	J:Zac Purton T:K L Man	129	t	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has performed nicely in recent barrier trials; any market support must be taken seriously
6 (8)	Mission Strike Bay J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	129	—	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has been slow to get away in numerous barrier trials; will need to have figured that out
7 (12)	Patch Of Lucky Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:Jimmy Ting	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Jimmy Ting	129	tb	—	52	49	-	49d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Never remotely involved on last month's debut; looks one for further down the line
8 (4)	Somelovefromabove Brown J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	129	—	—	52	60	-	43d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Raced too freely when safely held on last month's debut; needs to learn to settle better
9 (5)	Storm Runner Bay J:K C Leung T:P C Ng	J:K C Leung T:P C Ng	129	b	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has shown only moderate ability in local barrier trials; percentage call is to oppose
10 (11)	Bear Champ Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:C W Chang	J:Andrea Atzeni T:C W Chang	127	h	66	50	70	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Has posted a couple of respectable efforts so far; may be seen to better effect over 7f
11 (2)	The Auspicious Bay J:M L Yeung T:Y S Tsui	J:M L Yeung T:Y S Tsui	127	h	90	50	62	-	14d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	0	—	—
Safely held on debut and was again well beaten over 6f here two weeks ago; can't recommend
12 (3)	Cashiscash Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Douglas Whyte	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Douglas Whyte	122	tp	8088	44	74	-	43d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yet to get seriously competitive in four starts; big step forward needed to land a blow
13 (7)	World Hero Bay J:Alexis Pouchin T:David A Hayes	J:Alexis Pouchin T:David A Hayes	121	p	07850	44	73	-	18d	—	1W/1P 1 run	—	0	—	—
Failed to overcome a wide draw at Happy Valley 18 days ago; may bounce back here
14 (6)	California Moxie Bay J:Angus Chung(3) T:A S Cruz	J:Angus Chung(3) T:A S Cruz	120	tb	766483	43	74	-	18d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Not disgraced in defeat; may prove to be the fly in the ointment from today's low weight

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ka Ying Attack

OR: 2 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Juneau Pride

9.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Etalon Or

6.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

California Moxie

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Dragon Sunrise

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

California Blitz

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Jolly Jumper

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Statement

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mission Strike

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Patch Of Lucky

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Somelovefromabove

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Storm Runner

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bear Champ

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

The Auspicious

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Cashiscash

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

World Hero

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ka Ying Attack	58	68	—
Juneau Pride	55	72	—
Etalon Or	53	73	—
Dragon Sunrise	52	64	—
California Blitz	52	—	—
Jolly Jumper	52	55	—
Lucky Statement	52	—	—
Mission Strike	52	—	—
Patch Of Lucky	52	49	—
Somelovefromabove	52	60	—
Storm Runner	52	—	—
Bear Champ	50	70	—
The Auspicious	50	62	—
Cashiscash	44	74	—
World Hero	44	73	—
California Moxie	43	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Auspicious	14d ago	Fit
World Hero	18d ago	Fit
California Moxie	18d ago	Fit
Jolly Jumper	21d ago	Fit
Bear Champ	21d ago	Fit
Dragon Sunrise	43d ago	Fit
Ka Ying Attack	43d ago	Fit
Juneau Pride	43d ago	Fit
Etalon Or	43d ago	Fit
Somelovefromabove	43d ago	Fit
Cashiscash	43d ago	Fit
Patch Of Lucky	49d ago	Fresh
California Blitz	—	—
Lucky Statement	—	—
Mission Strike	—	—
Storm Runner	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.