Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:13

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2025-01-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 29.24s (slow by 5.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	William Dewhirst (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Ben Haslam	6/4F	Won
2nd	Swiss Ace (GB) Billy Loughnane · Ruth Carr	7/2	1.25
3rd	King's School (GB) Warren Fentiman · Gemma Tutty	9/2	6
4th	Aram (USA) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	33/1	0.05
5th	Outrun The Storm (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	15/2	1.25
6th	Starliner (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	6/1	1.25
7th	Woodleigh (IRE) Harry Russell · Declan Carroll	33/1	1.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	William Dewhirst Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	137	—	6112-1	77	83	67	6d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	27.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Thriving at present, and C&D scorer six days ago; not taken lightly under a 5lb penalty
2 (4)	Swiss Ace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	135	—	74954-	75	86	64	17d	—	—	-6	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good fourth over C&D 17 days ago; he merits serious consideration eased 1lb
3 (1)	King's School Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Gemma Tutty	135	tp	2411-4	75	88	70	6d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner; not seen to best effect when fourth here latest; likely player off same mark
4 (2)	Starliner Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	134	h	7129-3	74	86	55	6d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid C&D third six days ago; this C&D scorer ought to be in the shake-up again
5 (5)	Outrun The Storm Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	—	35145-	74	86	67	178d	—	—	+4	14.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off the track since July but he has scored over C&D after a layoff; considered
6 (7)	Aram Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	126	—	/0746-	66	84	-	319d	—	—	+1	5.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Off since last at Jebel Ali ten months ago; possibilities for her new yard here
7 (6)	Woodleigh Bay J:Harry Russell T:Declan Carroll	J:Harry Russell T:Declan Carroll	126	—	36605-	66	72	43	32d	—	—	+3	5.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Back on track when fifth of eight in 7f Southwell handicap last month; not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
William Dewhirst	6/4	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8
Swiss Ace	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
King's School	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Starliner	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Outrun The Storm	15/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	6/1
Aram	25/1	25/1	25/1	18/1	22/1
Woodleigh	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

William Dewhirst

27.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Outrun The Storm

14.7

OR: 6 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Starliner

12.3

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Swiss Ace

11.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

King's School

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Aram

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Woodleigh

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
William Dewhirst	77	83	67
Swiss Ace	75	86	64
King's School	75	88	70
Starliner	74	86	55
Outrun The Storm	74	86	67
Aram	66	84	—
Woodleigh	66	72	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
William Dewhirst	6d ago	Quick return
King's School	6d ago	Quick return
Starliner	6d ago	Quick return
Swiss Ace	17d ago	Fit
Woodleigh	32d ago	Fit
Outrun The Storm	178d ago	Long break
Aram	319d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.