Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:40

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-01-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Raft Up Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Harriet Bethell	J:Joanna Mason T:Harriet Bethell	134	—	9608-5	53	62	55	17d	—	—	-14	6.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Sole win came over C&D and not beaten far at Southwell last time when meeting trouble
4 (7)	She'sashambles Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	133	p	3425-3	52	66	59	17d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Only narrowly beaten into third of ten at Southwell this month; should be involved
5 (4)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	133	v	3252-5	52	66	62	7d	—	—	-11	4.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Losing run up to 23 and dropping back to 6f is not sure to help
3 (11)	Bungle Bay Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	133	—	59031-	52	67	60	36d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	16.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Five wins at Wolverhampton; might get away with the drop back in trip on this stiff track
7 (2)	Noble Captain Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	127	t	4486-5	46	65	55	14d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2lb lower than for the latest of two C&D wins early last year; each-way claims
8 (5)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	126	t	3337-8	45	66	64	18d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Losing run now stands at 49; best to look elsewhere
9 (6)	Mr Stanley Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Philip Kirby	126	p	0367-4	45	65	55	19d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Now 0-25 which leaves him with plenty to prove
10 (10)	Secret Daay Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	126	b	06078-	45	64	45	69d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Recent efforts have been moderate and he is now 0-28; hard to fancy
1 (9)	Tees Harriet Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	135	—	6447-	54	61	-	112d	—	—	-1	1.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Still unexposed but returns from another four months off with plenty to prove
11 (3)	Sacred Melody Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	h	965-09	45	62	53	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
No closer than fifth in 12 starts; makes little appeal
NR (1)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Linda Perratt	J:NON-RUNNER T:Linda Perratt	130	p	452-27	49	69	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Record over C&D reads 1232424 and that makes him a player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Raft Up	11/4	10/3	10/3	7/2	3/1
She'sashambles	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Urban Dandy	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bungle Bay	6/1	11/2	5/1	6/1	5/1
Noble Captain	17/2	15/2	17/2	7/1	17/2
Asadjumeirah	17/2	15/2	8/1	7/1	8/1
Mr Stanley	17/2	15/2	17/2	15/2	17/2
Secret Daay	40/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
Tees Harriet	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Sacred Melody	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Bernie The Bear	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bungle Bay

16.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

She'sashambles

8.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Raft Up

6.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Urban Dandy

4.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Noble Captain

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Mr Stanley

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Asadjumeirah

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Tees Harriet

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Secret Daay

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sacred Melody

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Bernie The Bear

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tees Harriet	54	61	—
Raft Up	53	62	55
She'sashambles	52	66	59
Urban Dandy	52	66	62
Bungle Bay	52	67	60
Bernie The Bear	49	69	—
Noble Captain	46	65	55
Asadjumeirah	45	66	64
Mr Stanley	45	65	55
Secret Daay	45	64	45
Sacred Melody	45	62	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Urban Dandy	7d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	10d ago	Quick return
Sacred Melody	11d ago	Quick return
Noble Captain	14d ago	Fit
Raft Up	17d ago	Fit
She'sashambles	17d ago	Fit
Asadjumeirah	18d ago	Fit
Mr Stanley	19d ago	Fit
Bungle Bay	36d ago	Fit
Secret Daay	69d ago	Fresh
Tees Harriet	112d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.