BetMGM: It's Showtime Classified Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Classified Stakes

Date 2025-03-07

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 43.32s (slow by 6.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Danehill Star (IRE) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	15/2	Won
2nd	Urban Dandy (IRE) David Nolan · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	8/1	0.2
3rd	Fifty Sent (GB) Amie Waugh · Sam England	11/4	0.3
4th	Pop Favorite (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Scott Dixon	5/2F	1
5th	Martin's Brig (IRE) Rhys Elliott · David Thompson	4/1	.5
6th	Top Gun Tina (GB) Jonny Peate · David Thompson	7/1	2.25
7th	Morning Suit (IRE) Grace McEntee · Phil McEntee	40/1	1.5
8th	Retirement Beckons (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Linda Perratt	33/1	2.75

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	135	b	-47622	47	63	43	6d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-8	15.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Unable to reel in the front-running Martin's Brig here last time but ran very well
3 (1)	Fifty Sent Brown J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Sam England	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Sam England	135	b	677432	46	57	52	3d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-7	12.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Only 1-30 but nearly doubled tally at Southwell three days ago, also in a 1m classified
1 (5)	Martin's Brig Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	139	b	253541	44	57	40	6d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-4	17.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Closely matched with Pop Favourite whom he beat in a handicap here last week
7 (8)	Top Gun Tina Bay J:Jonny Peate T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate T:David Thompson	135	—	-49483	45	56	30	6d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-5	6.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Placed behind Martin's Brig and Pop Favorite here last week despite an awkward start
8 (2)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	135	p	-59427	48	62	36	15d	—	—	-4	6.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Strike-rate of 2-35; he's capable on his day but is hard to predict
2 (4)	Danehill Star Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	135	p	7-5167	46	60	47	19d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lingfield winner in January but hasn't built on that and others look that bit safer
4 (3)	Morning Suit Grey J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee T:Phil McEntee	135	tv	8800-9	43	50	40	25d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ran a bit better last time but was still only ninth of 11 and looks vulnerable once more
6 (6)	Retirement Beckons Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	135	—	447-70	43	56	34	21d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ran the odd fair race last year but trailed home last here three weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pop Favorite	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1
Fifty Sent	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Martin's Brig	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Top Gun Tina	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Urban Dandy	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Danehill Star	8/1	17/2	8/1	7/1	15/2
Morning Suit	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Retirement Beckons	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Martin's Brig

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 10.9 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Pop Favorite

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Fifty Sent

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Urban Dandy

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Top Gun Tina

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Danehill Star

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Morning Suit

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Retirement Beckons

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Urban Dandy	48	62	36
Pop Favorite	47	63	43
Fifty Sent	46	57	52
Danehill Star	46	60	47
Top Gun Tina	45	56	30
Martin's Brig	44	57	40
Morning Suit	43	50	40
Retirement Beckons	43	56	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fifty Sent	3d ago	Quick return
Pop Favorite	6d ago	Quick return
Martin's Brig	6d ago	Quick return
Top Gun Tina	6d ago	Quick return
Urban Dandy	15d ago	Fit
Danehill Star	19d ago	Fit
Retirement Beckons	21d ago	Fit
Morning Suit	25d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.