£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-03-13

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Monks Dream Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	134	—	50-722	77	89	68	9d	—	—	-12	14.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Runner-up here the last twice; 1lb well in and he should remain competitive
4 (3)	Castan Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	133	p	4-6111	76	91	79	14d	—	—	-9	13.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
3-3 since cheekpieces were added; 2lb rise for latest win looks fair; high on the list
5 (4)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	t	435454	74	87	71	9d	—	—	-1	9.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Capable off this mark but likely he'll need them to go too hard early if he's to win
6 (2)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	129	—	3-6437	72	90	79	14d	—	—	0	10.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Only seventh behind Castan here two weeks ago; 4lb better off but others make more appeal
2 (7)	Zarzyni Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	136	p	57818-	79	88	59	159d	—	—	+8	16.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Talented but hard to win with; can go well fresh so each-way claims back from 5 months off
1 (1)	Alligator Alley Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	136	—	62476-	79	89	41	142d	—	—	+1	11.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
He's been much better than this level in his day and an intriguing runner on stable debut
7 (5)	King's Crown Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	122	tp	418321	65	92	76	12d	—	—	+16	22.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ready C&D win 12 days ago but that was a small-field Class 6; this demands much more
8 (8)	Herakles Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	122	—	96527-	65	90	79	122d	—	—	+4	8.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Effective over C&D but absent since a low-key run in November; others look stronger

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Monks Dream	2/1	5/2	5/2	9/4	85/40
Castan	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Dark Kestrel	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Our Absent Friends	8/1	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Zarzyni	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Alligator Alley	15/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	9/1
King's Crown	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Herakles	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King's Crown

22.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 17 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Zarzyni

16.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

10/1

3rd

Monks Dream

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Castan

13.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Alligator Alley

11.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Our Absent Friends

10.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Dark Kestrel

9.5

OR: 6 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Herakles

8.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zarzyni	79	88	59
Alligator Alley	79	89	41
Monks Dream	77	89	68
Castan	76	91	79
Dark Kestrel	74	87	71
Our Absent Friends	72	90	79
King's Crown	65	92	76
Herakles	65	90	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Monks Dream	9d ago	Quick return
Dark Kestrel	9d ago	Quick return
King's Crown	12d ago	Quick return
Castan	14d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	14d ago	Fit
Herakles	122d ago	Long break
Alligator Alley	142d ago	Long break
Zarzyni	159d ago	Long break